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Old 08-05-2019, 01:04 PM   #51
hammer63
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I've been with EJ since 2010 and have averaged 11% per year. Stocks have outperformed my mutual funds by far. My 401K is in the S&P 500 Index fund and essentially mirrors the S&P 500 performance.
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Old 08-05-2019, 01:24 PM   #52
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Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR). Only stock I own. Lowest price I bought at was $1.50. Highest I have bought was at $25.00. It is just getting started. Once in a lifetime opportunity. Will be $1000 in five years - conservatively (barring an economic collapse). I have millions in it. Do your own due diligence. Feel free to ask me questions.


Iím with you on this. Got in before the DPC ordeal and held through it. Added more shares after the crash and am still adding when I can. If the future of this company is headed where we think it is weíre going to be rewarded nicely. Ive already more than tripled what Iíve put in it. Just wish I had bought more near the bottom!


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Old 08-05-2019, 01:52 PM   #53
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Iím with you on this. Got in before the DPC ordeal and held through it. Added more shares after the crash and am still adding when I can. If the future of this company is headed where we think it is weíre going to be rewarded nicely. Ive already more than tripled what Iíve put in it. Just wish I had bought more near the bottom!


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Nice! I never would've guessed that there would be another Arrowhead investor on TBH.
"....going to be rewarded nicely." Yes. That's putting it mildly. HBV alone will send it skyrocketing.
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Old 08-05-2019, 01:54 PM   #54
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Nice! I never would've guessed that there would be another Arrowhead investor on TBH.

"....going to be rewarded nicely." Yes. That's putting it mildly. HBV alone will send it skyrocketing.


Iíve tried to convince a few close friends and family members to look into but none have taken my advice. They all act like they canít believe the money Iíve made but none will actually buy any shares. Oh well...Their loss.


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Old 08-05-2019, 08:13 PM   #55
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I play around on Robinhood app buying mainly mortgage reits, but I’ll buy a grand worth of arrowhead and wait and see...
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Old 08-05-2019, 09:27 PM   #56
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Yes, I get the skepticism. It would be highly unlikely that I would make a stock purchase base upon someone's recommendation on an internet thread. I doubt anyone on here will even look at ARWR, let alone invest in it. Doing so would be foolish - if based solely on my recommendation.
Never the less, here's what I really believe:
ARWR will become the next Amgen-like pharmaceutical company and will be worth thousands per share.
Crazy, huh?!
I have looked at it and might put a couple grand in just for giggles.
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Old 08-05-2019, 09:38 PM   #57
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If you have the time and interest learn to do it yourself. If not hire someone like Burnadell.

I enjoy it and know how to research stocks, technical analysis, and trade options. Wish I had more time to actively trade though.
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Old 08-05-2019, 09:52 PM   #58
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Invest in a Vanguard fund with minimal fees that tracks the market and forget about it

Or

Get enough $ to invest where you can go to the wealth mgr. at the bigger houses who have access to information not readily available.Do an asset allocation that matches your age , goals and risk level and let them do the work while you focus on what you do best.
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Old 08-05-2019, 10:18 PM   #59
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Iíve tried to convince a few close friends and family members to look into but none have taken my advice. They all act like they canít believe the money Iíve made but none will actually buy any shares. Oh well...Their loss.


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May have to sell the cannabis stock I have and switch to this. Average has taken a massive dump lately
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Old 08-05-2019, 10:36 PM   #60
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I'm no expert but have followed this guys advice and one of his recommended portfolios for many years. We've done very well.

The Independent Guide for Vanguard Investors.

https://adviseronline.investorplace.com/
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Old 08-05-2019, 11:34 PM   #61
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Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (ARWR). Only stock I own. Lowest price I bought at was $1.50. Highest I have bought was at $25.00. It is just getting started. Once in a lifetime opportunity. Will be $1000 in five years - conservatively (barring an economic collapse). I have millions in it. Do your own due diligence. Feel free to ask me questions.
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Originally Posted by AZ&F'sDaddy View Post
Yes, I get the skepticism. It would be highly unlikely that I would make a stock purchase base upon someone's recommendation on an internet thread. I doubt anyone on here will even look at ARWR, let alone invest in it. Doing so would be foolish - if based solely on my recommendation.
Never the less, here's what I really believe:
ARWR will become the next Amgen-like pharmaceutical company and will be worth thousands per share.
Crazy, huh?!
I follow bios a lot. The issue is you can find posts like yours on about half the bio stocks. They all read nearly identical to what you're saying. And if/when a big trial fails the poster is no where to be found. For the one in 20 that does great there will be a "I told you so! it was sooo obvious"

This is why I never post on bio stocks unless I can explain why it may rocket up. And I say what may cause it to tank.

Like right now I'm in pretty heavy into AGRX - This is their 3rd try to get FDA approval and I'm 80% sure they get it this time in November. They just sold shares to raise money so no more risk of that. So I expect the stock to run over the next 3 months to around $2. I just don't see much downside unless they get negative comments at their ADCOM in late October.
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Old 08-06-2019, 09:32 AM   #62
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Originally Posted by RiverRat1 View Post
I follow bios a lot. The issue is you can find posts like yours on about half the bio stocks. They all read nearly identical to what you're saying. And if/when a big trial fails the poster is no where to be found. For the one in 20 that does great there will be a "I told you so! it was sooo obvious"

This is why I never post on bio stocks unless I can explain why it may rocket up. And I say what may cause it to tank.

Like right now I'm in pretty heavy into AGRX - This is their 3rd try to get FDA approval and I'm 80% sure they get it this time in November. They just sold shares to raise money so no more risk of that. So I expect the stock to run over the next 3 months to around $2. I just don't see much downside unless they get negative comments at their ADCOM in late October.
You're right: Most drug candidates fail. I'm not trying to convince anyone on here to buy ARWR. It would be foolish for anyone to invest in a stock simply because they read about it on an internet thread.
Among many others, here are a few reasons I am invested in ARWR and why it's the only stock I own:
1. It is already known that a previous version of their Hepatitis B drug worked; it has already produced Functional Cures in patients with Hep B. It is just a matter of time before the newest, more improved version, that has been bought by JNJ(!!!) and for which ARWR will receive mid-teen royalties (read: billions) - it's just a matter of time before the new version is shown to produce FCs.
2. It's already known that ARWR's wholly-owned, other-leading candidate does half of what it's supposed to do - stop liver production of AAT - and it does so without any side effects. The other thing it needs to be shown to do - reverse liver fibrosis - has been shown to happen in animal models. There is no treatment for this disease - Alpha 1 Antitrypsin disease.

Both of these drugs, if approved, will make this a $500 per share stock EASILY. And they have, at least, six, other candidates in the pipeline (that we know about!), with the company's intention to introduce 2-to-3 new drugs, per year for the foreseeable future. And once the first two are approved, the dominoes will start to fall: THIS IS NOT A SMALL MOLECULE DRUG COMPANY. It is a drug PLATFORM company. And there are literally hundreds, if not thousands, of diseases that can be treated with this platform - everything from infectious diseases, to cardiovascular disease, to cancer, to cystic fibrosis. And with the new, Trump FDA, drug approval is being facilitated, not impaired.

I could go on and on.

They had a great conference call, yesterday, after which Piper Jaffray increased their price target to $50. Fifty is NOTHING.

Do your own due diligence.
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Old 08-06-2019, 09:42 AM   #63
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Originally Posted by AZ&F'sDaddy View Post
You're right: Most drug candidates fail. I'm not trying to convince anyone on here to buy ARWR. It would be foolish for anyone to invest in a stock simply because they read about it on an internet thread.
Among many others, here are a few reasons I am invested in ARWR and why it's the only stock I own:
1. It is already known that a previous version of their Hepatitis B drug worked; it has already produced Functional Cures in patients with Hep B. It is just a matter of time before the newest, more improved version, that has been bought by JNJ(!!!) and for which ARWR will receive mid-teen royalties (read: billions) - it's just a matter of time before the new version is shown to produce FCs.
2. It's already known that ARWR's wholly-owned, other-leading candidate does half of what it's supposed to do - stop liver production of AAT - and it does so without any side effects. The other thing it needs to be shown to do - reverse liver fibrosis - has been shown to happen in animal models. There is no treatment for this disease - Alpha 1 Antitrypsin disease.

Both of these drugs, if approved, will make this a $500 per share stock EASILY. And they have, at least, six, other candidates in the pipeline (that we know about!), with the company's intention to introduce 2-to-3 new drugs, per year for the foreseeable future. And once the first two are approved, the dominoes will start to fall: THIS IS NOT A SMALL MOLECULE DRUG COMPANY. It is a drug PLATFORM company. And there are literally hundreds, if not thousands, of diseases that can be treated with this platform - everything from infectious diseases, to cardiovascular disease, to cancer, to cystic fibrosis. And with the new, Trump FDA, drug approval is being facilitated, not impaired.

I could go on and on.

They had a great conference call, yesterday, after which Piper Jaffray increased their price target to $50. Fifty is NOTHING.

Do your own due diligence.
Heck, I already own waaay more than I need, but I knew that yesterday's drop, with the overall market, would be short-lived; so I bought another thousand shares at 27.50. And we've already traded above 29, this morning.
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Old 08-06-2019, 09:54 AM   #64
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Like right now I'm in pretty heavy into AGRX - This is their 3rd try to get FDA approval and I'm 80% sure they get it this time in November. They just sold shares to raise money so no more risk of that. So I expect the stock to run over the next 3 months to around $2. I just don't see much downside unless they get negative comments at their ADCOM in late October.
I'm not intending to be rude, here. I am sure you are a smart guy and a savvy investor. But AGRX is too risky, for me. And that's coming from a guy who has all of his eggs in one basket. In my mind, investing in AGRX is gambling. Yes, yes, ARWR is a gamble, too. But I think ARWR is as sure a thing one can get in the stock market; and certainly less risky than AGRX.

I hope Twirla gets approved, for you. Good luck.
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Old 08-06-2019, 11:27 AM   #65
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I'm not intending to be rude, here. I am sure you are a smart guy and a savvy investor. But AGRX is too risky, for me. And that's coming from a guy who has all of his eggs in one basket. In my mind, investing in AGRX is gambling. Yes, yes, ARWR is a gamble, too. But I think ARWR is as sure a thing one can get in the stock market; and certainly less risky than AGRX.

I hope Twirla gets approved, for you. Good luck.
I'm not invested on AGRX - IMO it's as sure of a short term trade one can make leading up to the FDA decision.

It would be a gamble to buy and hold AGRX for a long trade..I agree. Even if they get approval I have no idea where it will trade
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Old 08-06-2019, 11:28 AM   #66
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Honestly, I no longer invest in the market and have moved all my funds into rental real estate. I believe ERISA was designed by wall street to maximize their gains not yours. They have some magic when the market goes down that makes your money their money. If you live and breath the market you can self direct and limit this with proshares but I have no desire to live and breath the market. The best book I have seen on market investing for the non-professional was from Tony Robbins "Unshakeable" it is available on audio and if I was still in the market I would follow the advice of the people he interviewed.
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Old 08-06-2019, 11:35 AM   #67
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I am invested in ARWR and why it's the only stock I own:
For someone who keeps saying that a person shouldn't invest in ARWR just because you say so, you sure are being tel-evangelistic in your pitch.

Hopefully readers are making their own decisions and not blindly following the investment "non-advice" of a guy who is invested in a single stock.
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Old 08-06-2019, 04:06 PM   #68
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Originally Posted by Throwin Darts View Post
For someone who keeps saying that a person shouldn't invest in ARWR just because you say so, you sure are being tel-evangelistic in your pitch.

Hopefully readers are making their own decisions and not blindly following the investment "non-advice" of a guy who is invested in a single stock.
Ha! Such cynicism. If this thread had been an in-person conversation amongst friends, it would have taken about five minutes. But being written and on the internet, it gets atomized and analyzed.

Have a beer and relax. I'm just making conversation about something that I'm interested in.

Oh! Look at that: The thousand shares I bought yesterday are up a buck. Nice.
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Old 08-06-2019, 05:14 PM   #69
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Barnadell, message sent.
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Old 08-06-2019, 05:53 PM   #70
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2 years investing and talking about holding too long is where you're going terribly wrong.
This. You're too far zoomed in on the chart.
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Old 08-06-2019, 05:56 PM   #71
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This. No reason to pay someone. These funds charge .25 percent or less and will beat 85% of all professional fund managers. Dollars cost average in on a regular basis for the long haul, donít fret the swings and pray the Republicans stay in control.
The Simple Path to Wealth outlines the low-cost index fund strategy rather brilliantly. It also covers all of the other Personal Finance topics if you're interested

https://www.amazon.com/Simple-Path-W.../dp/1533667926
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Old 08-06-2019, 06:06 PM   #72
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I talked to a financial advisor who has his own company and has advised numerous people and organizations for years. His basic advice to me if anyone tells you they understand the stock market run from them as fast as you can. He basically said long term investment that is diversified is the only way to go. I followed his advice and wound with three times as much as I thought I would. As to individual stocks, well good luck.
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Old 08-06-2019, 07:41 PM   #73
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Lots of people think they hold the next gomden ticket, until they lose it all because they lack diversification.
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Old 08-06-2019, 07:51 PM   #74
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Props to those of you that do your own investing. I find it intimidating so I let ML handle anything I do. Not a big investor by any means but have IRA’s and 529’s with them. If I lose it at least I’ll have someone to blame it on LOL
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Old 08-06-2019, 09:12 PM   #75
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Ha! Such cynicism. If this thread had been an in-person conversation amongst friends, it would have taken about five minutes. But being written and on the internet, it gets atomized and analyzed.

Have a beer and relax. I'm just making conversation about something that I'm interested in.

Oh! Look at that: The thousand shares I bought yesterday are up a buck. Nice.
If you really have millions of dollars in ARWR then that's at least 70,000 shares so who cares about $1,000 You're up $70,000 today!
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Old 08-06-2019, 09:57 PM   #76
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If you really have millions of dollars in ARWR then that's at least 70,000 shares so who cares about $1,000 You're up $70,000 today!
True! But, hey, a thousand bucks is a thousand bucks.
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Old 08-17-2019, 06:03 PM   #77
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Lookie there: Since I first posted about ARWR, on August 4, it is up about 14%. And that in the face of an overall tank of the market.
Just sayin'.
P.S. ARWR is just getting started. Also, you might consider searching for bioboyscout. He put out a research paper on ARWR this week. It'll cost you a hundred bucks, but if you don't know how to research a company yourself, it might be a good place to start. (I have no connection to BBS and have not bought his research report - I don't need it.)
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Old 08-17-2019, 06:12 PM   #78
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Lookie there: Since I first posted about ARWR, on August 4, it is up about 14%. And that in the face of an overall tank of the market.
Just sayin'.
P.S. ARWR is just getting started. Also, you might consider searching for bioboyscout. He put out a research paper on ARWR this week. It'll cost you a hundred bucks, but if you don't know how to research a company yourself, it might be a good place to start. (I have no connection to BBS and have not bought his research report - I don't need it.)


I did a little preliminary research after your initial post. I had a little money in my Robinhood account. Iím up about 12%.
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Old 08-17-2019, 06:18 PM   #79
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ECL stock over the last 6 yrs has been good to me, but I might be a little biased considering I work for them.

Could be a good opportunity or a really bad one with it splitting early next year.


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Old 08-17-2019, 06:22 PM   #80
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I did a little preliminary research after your initial post. I had a little money in my Robinhood account. Iím up about 12%.
Well, now! That makes me happy! Good for you!
(BTW, I like light beers - Coors Light, Bud Light, Shiner Light Blonde, Dos Equis. Just sayin'.)
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Old 08-18-2019, 03:45 PM   #81
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Luck & timing when short term investing. I personally wouldnít play the market short term. Mutual fund investing long term is spreading the risk and focus on long term gains down the road as you near retirement age. Good luck
When I first started in '82 my advisor said timing the market is a near-guaranteed losing strategy. Get in, stay in and increase whenever you can----dollar cost averaging has worked for me with zero worries on my part.
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Old 09-06-2019, 11:07 AM   #82
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I'm not invested on AGRX - IMO it's as sure of a short term trade one can make leading up to the FDA decision.



It would be a gamble to buy and hold AGRX for a long trade..I agree. Even if they get approval I have no idea where it will trade


Agrx is having a good day.
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Old 09-06-2019, 11:27 AM   #83
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I just looked on my American Funds. since initial investment 11/2017 I am at 5.25%. This year to date I am at 14.59%. I am happy enough

Plus I got some money in a Savings account I can withdrawl at anytime making 2.49%
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Old 09-06-2019, 11:40 AM   #84
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I have been in the market 2 years now. Im up 4% which is horrible. I have found my problem is that i don't know when to sale. My strategy is buy and hold good companies, w good balance sheets. The only thing is I hold to long and let all my gains evaporate. Is there anyone on the green screen that has good experience, that would like to share their knowledge?
My investing expertise is in multi-family residential real estate. A buddy I went to college with handles my stock market portfolio. He runs an Edward Jones office. PM if you want his contact info. He sent me a text that my portfolio is up 22% since Jan 1 of this year (of course it took a dip last December).
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Old 09-09-2019, 08:05 PM   #85
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Well, now! That makes me happy! Good for you!
(BTW, I like light beers - Coors Light, Bud Light, Shiner Light Blonde, Dos Equis. Just sayin'.)
So, what tune you singing now?

You owe him a case. It’s down 16.64% in 1 week.... TIME TO BUY!

Last edited by 12RingKing; 09-09-2019 at 08:07 PM.
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Old 09-09-2019, 08:21 PM   #86
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So, what tune you singing now?

You owe him a case. Itís down 16.64% in 1 week.... TIME TO BUY!


Haha. Iím only down 4%. I canít complain, itís play money. I believe it will bounce back within a week or so.
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Old 09-09-2019, 10:25 PM   #87
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Haha. Iím only down 4%. I canít complain, itís play money. I believe it will bounce back within a week or so.
a little "play money" went in today ... time will tell if it was an opportunity or a trap ....
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Old 09-30-2019, 08:10 AM   #88
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ARWR down 24.29% this past month
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Old 10-02-2019, 11:24 AM   #89
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Originally Posted by 12RingKing View Post
ARWR down 24.29% this past month


It hasnít been a pretty month but there has been zero bad news put out to drive the price down. If anything, only great news has been released. There are several conferences and presentations scheduled this month that should shed light on how their program is progressing. This pullback didnít scare me one bit and Iíve been invested since before the crash a couple years ago. But to each their own.


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Old 10-02-2019, 11:43 AM   #90
texan4ut
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My guy is with Edwards Jones in Round Rock. He makes me money so I am happy. I just wish I would have invested 20 years ago. He has clients from all over the state by the way.
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Old 10-02-2019, 12:36 PM   #91
AZ&F'sDaddy
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 12RingKing View Post
So, what tune you singing now?

You owe him a case. It’s down 16.64% in 1 week.... TIME TO BUY!
Ha! My tune? I have added another 10,000 shares during this drop. The drop had nothing to do with company fundamentals. There was no bad news released. In fact, positive news was released during this drop. Nothing has changed except more positive news and more time has gone by wherein the company has not had to announce things like "patients experienced serious side effects, therefore the FDA has placed a clinical hold." Nothing like that. And every day that goes by puts the company closer to starting new clinical trials with new drug candidates. This one month(is that a long term investment timeframe?) - this one month drop has been a blessing.
Oh! and look at that: While the market has been down the past few days, ARWR has been up!
Never the less, I'd be more than happy to buy him a case. I can afford it.

Last edited by AZ&F'sDaddy; 10-02-2019 at 12:47 PM.
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Old 10-02-2019, 12:39 PM   #92
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Quote:
Originally Posted by scotth89 View Post
Haha. Iím only down 4%. I canít complain, itís play money. I believe it will bounce back within a week or so.
Personally, I am not worried about ARWR. Do your own due diligence.
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Old 10-07-2019, 05:05 PM   #93
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AZ&F'sDaddy View Post
Personally, I am not worried about ARWR. Do your own due diligence.


Figured it was just a matter of time before the pullback ended. I actually hoped for one, just not quite as big as what we had. Canít wait to see what is released throughout the next couple months during presentations.


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Old 10-07-2019, 07:16 PM   #94
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THE LAST place you want to get financial advice is on a forum -

Ask family and friends for a referral to a good planner and go see them - then listen to them and follow their advice -
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Old 10-15-2019, 01:04 PM   #95
AZ&F'sDaddy
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Originally Posted by lck90 View Post
Figured it was just a matter of time before the pullback ended. I actually hoped for one, just not quite as big as what we had. Can’t wait to see what is released throughout the next couple months during presentations.
Yep. I fully believed that the pullback was temporary and did not reflect company fundamentals. That's why I bought more during the drop. Even the current price does not reflect reality: It's too low!

Last edited by AZ&F'sDaddy; 10-15-2019 at 01:08 PM.
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Old 10-15-2019, 05:11 PM   #96
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I'm 56 and have been in the market 30 years. If I had to do it over again I would be 100% invested in real estate.

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Old 10-15-2019, 05:17 PM   #97
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AZ&F'sDaddy View Post
Personally, I am not worried about ARWR. Do your own due diligence.
If you own ANY bio stock and are not worried you are in bloody shark infested waters and have no clue.

Good luck.

I'm not saying ARWR will go down or up... Just saying you don't either. You just think you do. And if you're right in the long run it's not because you figured it out. It's because you gambled and won.
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Old 10-15-2019, 07:48 PM   #98
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Originally Posted by RiverRat1 View Post
If you own ANY bio stock and are not worried you are in bloody shark infested waters and have no clue.

Good luck.

I'm not saying ARWR will go down or up... Just saying you don't either. You just think you do. And if you're right in the long run it's not because you figured it out. It's because you gambled and won.
Okay.
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Old 10-17-2019, 12:15 PM   #99
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ARWR over $36 today Congrats!
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Old 10-17-2019, 12:27 PM   #100
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I'm not a Cramer fan by any means, but Arrowhead will be featured on his show today. They are hosting an analyst day tomorrow to provide an update on their pipeline. May be worth watching just to see what is said.
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