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Old 05-19-2022, 05:02 PM   #51
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Originally Posted by FLASH_OUTDOORS View Post
Sorry guys but my trip to the chandeleur islands next weekend loves this path.


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Good Luck Jordan! Barring this storm ,we are headed out to the islands Thurs.

Ducko doesn't want the storm to come inland or close. Those poor souls have been hammered in La.
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Old 05-19-2022, 05:33 PM   #52
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Good Luck Jordan! Barring this storm ,we are headed out to the islands Thurs.

Ducko doesn't want the storm to come inland or close. Those poor souls have been hammered in La.

We headed out Thursday as well. What charter??


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Old 05-19-2022, 05:51 PM   #53
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We headed out Thursday as well. What charter??


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Chandeleur Island Charters on the Compass Rose.
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Old 05-19-2022, 05:51 PM   #54
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Chandeleur Island Charters on the Compass Rose.

Nice!!!


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Old 05-19-2022, 06:10 PM   #55
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Can someone post a link the these GFS maps? I can’t figure out how or where to access them.
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Old 05-19-2022, 06:13 PM   #56
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Can someone post a link the these GFS maps? I cant figure out how or where to access them.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/
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Old 05-19-2022, 06:16 PM   #57
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Thank you!

I like all that red and yellow on the 24th.
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Old 05-20-2022, 10:22 AM   #58
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We headed out Thursday as well. What charter??


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Same boat as panhandlehunter. Where you headed out of? We are going out of Biloxi.
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Old 05-20-2022, 10:26 AM   #59
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Same boat as panhandlehunter. Where you headed out of? We are going out of Biloxi.

I believe we are going out of Biloxi as well. DMJ Charters


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Old 05-20-2022, 10:35 AM   #60
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I believe we are going out of Biloxi as well. DMJ Charters


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Good Deal!
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Old 05-20-2022, 10:48 AM   #61
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I believe we are going out of Biloxi as well. DMJ Charters


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sounds like we should have planned a TBH gtg in Biloxi!
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Old 05-20-2022, 10:56 AM   #62
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sounds like we should have planned a TBH gtg in Biloxi!

We are leaving out at 12am


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Old 05-20-2022, 11:06 AM   #63
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So should this thing be here and gone (Galveston area) by next weekend?
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Old 05-20-2022, 11:10 AM   #64
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So should this thing be here and gone (Galveston area) by next weekend?
Yea but gonna wipe Galvatrash off da map

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Old 05-20-2022, 11:48 AM   #65
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So should this thing be here and gone (Galveston area) by next weekend?
I'm not a model expert so I wont comment beyond saying a more recent run has a system going far from Galveston. Read this discussion for entertainment and don't be concerned until Johnny, the NHC, the Space City Weather guys, or a combo of all 3 say a storm may be coming. This sniff the gulf and sarcasm crap detracts from good info on this subject IMHO
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Old 05-20-2022, 12:28 PM   #66
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I'm not a model expert so I wont comment beyond saying a more recent run has a system going far from Galveston. Read this discussion for entertainment and don't be concerned until Johnny, the NHC, the Space City Weather guys, or a combo of all 3 say a storm may be coming. This sniff the gulf and sarcasm crap detracts from good info on this subject IMHO

Further south or east?


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Old 05-20-2022, 02:35 PM   #67
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Further south or east?


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South
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Old 05-20-2022, 02:39 PM   #68
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South
Might be time to take a ride out to JBS. Water's salty!
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Old 05-20-2022, 02:42 PM   #69
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Might be time to take a ride out to JBS. Water's salty!
No kidding.
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Old 05-20-2022, 02:44 PM   #70
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Further south or east?


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It shows a lot of heavy disturbed weather around the Yucatan but the rotation/storm appears (as was likely) to have fizzled from the model runs.
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Old 05-30-2022, 10:41 AM   #71
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https://news.yahoo.com/models-show-e...125531630.html
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Old 05-30-2022, 12:13 PM   #72
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Florida??
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Old 05-30-2022, 04:24 PM   #73
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It’s going to hit Galveston head on and sit for 2 weeks via the EEUBBJGFOIY model
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Old 05-30-2022, 07:42 PM   #74
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NHC now up to 50% on crossover development?
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Old 05-31-2022, 05:34 AM   #75
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NHC 60% chance now.
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Old 05-31-2022, 06:05 AM   #76
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Looking like its heading straight across to Florida
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Old 05-31-2022, 06:57 AM   #77
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Now look what y'all gone and done! A hurricane in the gulf the last week of May!



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Can you post an update?
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Old 05-31-2022, 07:00 AM   #78
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For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Near the Yucatan Peninsula and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:
A large and complex area of low pressure is expected to develop near
the Yucatan Peninsula and the northwestern Caribbean Sea in a couple
of days, partially related to the remnants of Agatha from the
eastern Pacific. Despite strong upper-level winds over the area,
this system could become a tropical depression while it moves
northeastward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and southeastern
Gulf of Mexico late this week. Regardless of development, locally
heavy rainfall is likely across portions of southeastern Mexico, the
Yucatan Peninsula, Guatemala, and Belize during the next few days,
spreading across western Cuba, southern Florida, and the Florida
Keys by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percen
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Old 05-31-2022, 09:29 AM   #79
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Can you post an update?
Nada on any of the maps and forecasts I follow....



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Old 06-01-2022, 07:26 AM   #80
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Well, its officially hurricane season. Rainmaker headed for Florida later this week and sounds like we may have an invest or TD designation later today to celebrate the start of the season. Between the heat and chance of a hurricane, this is my least favorite time to be a Houstonian.


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Old 06-01-2022, 07:53 AM   #81
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Start your 2022 hurricane prep now folks...dont wait until theres one in the gulf later this summer and you need fuel for your generators and what not.
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Old 06-01-2022, 09:58 AM   #82
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Hey gang, I have 3 Honda generators that I'd like to get serviced (and some minor repair). Any of you have a good recommendation for around the Houston (north side maybe) area that you trust?
Have 2 of the EU2000i's, and EU6500i...
Thanks!
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Old 06-01-2022, 11:52 AM   #83
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we have an invest

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo
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Old 06-01-2022, 12:19 PM   #84
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I definitely wont wish a hurricane on ANYONE! Just wrapped up outstanding insurance issues from last year for my parents 2 weeks ago. The season is here and it does not look good.
Quote:
Originally Posted by TexasBob View Post
I'm not a model expert so I wont comment beyond saying a more recent run has a system going far from Galveston. Read this discussion for entertainment and don't be concerned until Johnny, the NHC, the Space City Weather guys, or a combo of all 3 say a storm may be coming. This sniff the gulf and sarcasm crap detracts from good info on this subject IMHO

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Originally Posted by jay07ag View Post
Start your 2022 hurricane prep now folks...dont wait until theres one in the gulf later this summer and you need fuel for your generators and what not.
Yep, sad how folks wait until the last moment and then scream bloody murder when they cant get something.
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Old 06-01-2022, 01:00 PM   #85
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Hey gang, I have 3 Honda generators that I'd like to get serviced (and some minor repair). Any of you have a good recommendation for around the Houston (north side maybe) area that you trust?
Have 2 of the EU2000i's, and EU6500i...
Thanks!
Honda's don't require service. Turn key/pull cord, good to go.

In all seriousness, my Honda EU3000 requires the choke to start. I thought something was wrong with it. I've never had a Honda that required a choke unless it was below freezing.
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Old 06-01-2022, 01:05 PM   #86
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I used to use all three of these back when I bowfished regularly, but I haven't run any of them in quite some time now, so they probably need a good cleaning and carb work... Not stored with gas in them tho...
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Old 06-01-2022, 02:52 PM   #87
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I used to use all three of these back when I bowfished regularly, but I haven't run any of them in quite some time now, so they probably need a good cleaning and carb work... Not stored with gas in them tho...
Give them a go Charlie, I bet they need nothing but a little run time with some fuel treatment in the fresh gas and an oil change
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Old 06-01-2022, 02:57 PM   #88
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May give em a go this weekend…
Got some Sea Foam I can add to the gas (use ethanol-free)
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Old 06-01-2022, 03:34 PM   #89
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I had not ran mine in over 6 years, but stored it dry. Added gas, sea foam and a new plug. Started on the second pull! Briggs and Stratton engine.
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Old 06-01-2022, 05:00 PM   #90
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I definitely wont wish a hurricane on ANYONE! Just wrapped up outstanding insurance issues from last year for my parents 2 weeks ago. The season is here and it does not look good.







Yep, sad how folks wait until the last moment and then scream bloody murder when they cant get something.
Doesn't look good. Hear that EVERY year lol.

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Old 06-01-2022, 05:05 PM   #91
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Doesn't look good. Hear that EVERY year lol.

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Pretty Much, but it has gotten more often from when I was a kid in deep south Louisiana. Hopefully you don't ever have to live it from the inside out.
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Old 06-07-2022, 12:33 PM   #92
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ITs hot and ready, just looked at the tropical tidbits future and Holy sheet! I know, to early but the water is already hot for June.
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Old 06-07-2022, 12:38 PM   #93
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They are watching 2 systems. One just came off Africa...
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Old 06-07-2022, 01:02 PM   #94
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We have a coastal home, so I am constantly looking for reliable tropical weather information. Nothing better than Johnny, but I believe he does not watch like he used to for valid reasons. Anyway, I found a FB page called Mike's Weather Page. They guy is in Florida and watches everything from Africa to the Gulf. He is pretty solid on thoughts and what is going on. He also seems very widely recognized.
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Old 06-07-2022, 01:05 PM   #95
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We have a coastal home, so I am constantly looking for reliable tropical weather information. Nothing better than Johnny, but I believe he does not watch like he used to for valid reasons. Anyway, I found a FB page called Mike's Weather Page. They guy is in Florida and watches everything from Africa to the Gulf. He is pretty solid on thoughts and what is going on. He also seems very widely recognized.

I dont do fb what is he saying about the potential storm near the end of the month? Thanks!
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Old 06-07-2022, 02:22 PM   #96
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The GFS runs can change DRASTICALLY that far out so take them for what they are worth. That system could never even develop, break apart, or end up in Florida as far as anyone knows, but it doesn't hurt to keep an eye on it and let an extended forecast serve as a reminder to be prepared in advance rather that wait until a storm is on your doorstep.

I'll post the GFS surface winds for June 22 as soon as I get a sec.
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Old 06-07-2022, 02:26 PM   #97
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ITs hot and ready, just looked at the tropical tidbits future and Holy sheet! I know, to early but the water is already hot for June.
This High would have to move off of us for that scenario to play out. Water temp is like 84 right now. Bath water and low shear right now.
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Old 06-07-2022, 02:32 PM   #98
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Here ya go...



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Old 06-07-2022, 02:34 PM   #99
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I dont do fb what is he saying about the potential storm near the end of the month? Thanks!
No FB needed...

https://spaghettimodels.com/default.htm
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Old 06-07-2022, 03:16 PM   #100
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The GFS runs can change DRASTICALLY that far out so take them for what they are worth. That system could never even develop, break apart, or end up in Florida as far as anyone knows, but it doesn't hurt to keep an eye on it and let an extended forecast serve as a reminder to be prepared in advance rather that wait until a storm is on your doorstep.

I'll post the GFS surface winds for June 22 as soon as I get a sec.
Isn't it a typical GFS flaw/setup to show a decent storm at the end of the run? Seems like I remember it from last year
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