I haven’t seen this discussed here or really anywhere. But a good portion of the state looks to get a shot of cold air accompanied by some winter precip (hallelujah!) at the end of the work week.
Models aren’t in full agreement on the details, but the big picture they all pretty much paint the same picture. That picture includes a cold 1050mb high pressure system entering the northern tier US and dumping the coldest air of the season, not that that is saying much for this winter. This cold air mixes with a low pressure system across much of Texas Wed/thurs and gives most of the state some snow and freezing mix precipitation. The cold is going to come in a couple of waves where we get the initial cold air that brings to or below freezing and then later even colder air filters in behind.
Where models aren’t in full agreement is how much frozen precip falls, how cold it gets and for how long. Models have temps as cold as 0° in much of NTX and staying below freezing until Monday. Others have temps in teens and warming up by Saturday.
Bottom line, expect some of the coldest air this season, and make necessary preparations. ERCOT may get tested again.
My personal opinion is that this won’t be as cold as last Feb, but I believe we may see more winter precip over the state that would likely cause power outages.
I’ll try to add some screenshots of various model runs later. Any other weather followers are free to add on their observations/interpretations or disagree, always interested in others opinions
Models aren’t in full agreement on the details, but the big picture they all pretty much paint the same picture. That picture includes a cold 1050mb high pressure system entering the northern tier US and dumping the coldest air of the season, not that that is saying much for this winter. This cold air mixes with a low pressure system across much of Texas Wed/thurs and gives most of the state some snow and freezing mix precipitation. The cold is going to come in a couple of waves where we get the initial cold air that brings to or below freezing and then later even colder air filters in behind.
Where models aren’t in full agreement is how much frozen precip falls, how cold it gets and for how long. Models have temps as cold as 0° in much of NTX and staying below freezing until Monday. Others have temps in teens and warming up by Saturday.
Bottom line, expect some of the coldest air this season, and make necessary preparations. ERCOT may get tested again.
My personal opinion is that this won’t be as cold as last Feb, but I believe we may see more winter precip over the state that would likely cause power outages.
I’ll try to add some screenshots of various model runs later. Any other weather followers are free to add on their observations/interpretations or disagree, always interested in others opinions
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