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Old 08-24-2021, 12:51 PM   #51
Leemo
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Well
Peanut Butter
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Old 08-24-2021, 01:19 PM   #52
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Won’t even sniff Texas.
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Old 08-24-2021, 01:20 PM   #53
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Still very early with no center of circulation formed yet, however 4 major models are showing a lower to mid Texas coast landfall early next week. for sure worth watching
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Old 08-24-2021, 01:56 PM   #54
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Quote:
Originally Posted by trophy8 View Post
Yíall got them gulf elk ole son?
Nah, bought 17hrs N/W of the turdbowl I live in.
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Old 08-24-2021, 05:23 PM   #55
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And now a bunch of models are in agreement with a TS or Cat 1 system making landfall a week from today around corpus. Just awesome for the doe opener. Once again just a 6 day prediction

We shall see what the 8 pm model brings.
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Old 08-24-2021, 05:44 PM   #56
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For entertainment only. The latest GFS model run...looks like a cat 4 making landfall around Matagorda.



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Old 08-24-2021, 05:46 PM   #57
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Johnny View Post
For entertainment only. The latest GFS model run...looks like a cat 4 making landfall around Matagorda.



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Well isnt that a peach!
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Old 08-24-2021, 05:54 PM   #58
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Quote:
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For entertainment only. The latest GFS model run...looks like a cat 4 making landfall around Matagorda.



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Sure hope that's wrong.
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Old 08-24-2021, 06:15 PM   #59
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Track will change quite a bit I’m sure, jumped a lot in 1 day
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Old 08-24-2021, 06:23 PM   #60
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TV meteorologist just said, "long way to geaux before we have any real idea what this system will deaux!"
Pretty much summed it up based on reading yall's comments and modeling.
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Old 08-24-2021, 06:42 PM   #61
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Johnny View Post
For entertainment only. The latest GFS model run...looks like a cat 4 making landfall around Matagorda.



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Thatís not entertainment, thatís my back yard. Lol
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Old 08-24-2021, 06:49 PM   #62
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Good luck guys, keep us posted Johnny
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Old 08-24-2021, 06:54 PM   #63
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 150class View Post
And now a bunch of models are in agreement with a TS or Cat 1 system making landfall a week from today around corpus. Just awesome for the doe opener. Once again just a 6 day prediction

We shall see what the 8 pm model brings.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Johnny View Post
For entertainment only. The latest GFS model run...looks like a cat 4 making landfall around Matagorda.



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one post with cat one and another with cat 4. Huge difference.
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Old 08-24-2021, 07:06 PM   #64
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I remember when Harvey was supposed to be a Cat 1.
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Old 08-24-2021, 07:07 PM   #65
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Will be watching close......very close
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Old 08-24-2021, 07:26 PM   #66
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I remember when Harvey was supposed to be a Cat 1.
I remember when Laura was supposed to be a 1 or 2

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Old 08-24-2021, 07:34 PM   #67
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Quote:
Originally Posted by panhandlehunter View Post
Thatís not entertainment, thatís my back yard. Lol
See? You shoulda kept quiet!



Reverse psychology. This thing is gonna sniff the gulf like Biden!




Now we wait.
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Old 08-24-2021, 07:35 PM   #68
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Leemo View Post
Will be watching close......very close
Im sure you have it covered but we got places for yall to run and hide to if needed. I can make arrangements for livestock as well.
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Old 08-24-2021, 07:45 PM   #69
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Quackerbox View Post
one post with cat one and another with cat 4. Huge difference.
Photos I was seeing didn’t show pressures near that low.

And in every single hurricane knowledge aspect possible I will defer to Johnny!

Also my 8 pm was suppose to be 1800 … mistake on my end there
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Old 08-24-2021, 07:46 PM   #70
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I will be checking in with Johnny!!
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Old 08-24-2021, 07:48 PM   #71
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Will be following closely.
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Old 08-24-2021, 07:50 PM   #72
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Quote:
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Im sure you have it covered but we got places for yall to run and hide to if needed. I can make arrangements for livestock as well.
Thanks a bunch brother!!
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Old 08-24-2021, 08:23 PM   #73
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Following along. Hoping something comes along and breaks it apart before it even has a chance to get named.

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Old 08-24-2021, 08:41 PM   #74
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Hard to believe it could cross the center of the YucatŠn as a tropical wave and then spin up into a Cat4, I guess it’s possible but rare
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Old 08-24-2021, 08:43 PM   #75
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The area to watch has been listed as Invest 99L. A quick screenshot of the area we will be watching.




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Old 08-24-2021, 09:51 PM   #76
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Tagged


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Old 08-24-2021, 09:52 PM   #77
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My camper is available on our land if someone has to get out. Up around burnet.

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Old 08-24-2021, 10:35 PM   #78
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This is windy.com and their gfs forecast for next Tuesday. 7 days from now.


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Old 08-24-2021, 11:08 PM   #79
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Latest Icon model run...cat 3 into Matty. Strictly entertainment. I'd be more worried if/when it shows this once we get a LLC to track. I wouldn't be surprised to see a few models going into Louisiana with this.





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Last edited by Johnny; 08-24-2021 at 11:20 PM.
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Old 08-25-2021, 06:00 AM   #80
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Boy, that second one is angry way after landfall

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Old 08-25-2021, 06:11 AM   #81
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What’s Frankie’s take on this?
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Old 08-25-2021, 06:16 AM   #82
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Johnny View Post
I wouldn't be surprised to see a few models going into Louisiana with this.
Good eye Johnny. Latest model has shifted to LA.

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Old 08-25-2021, 06:16 AM   #83
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Whatís Frankieís take on this?
It's not real until Frankie says it's real.
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Old 08-25-2021, 06:53 AM   #84
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Some hot water out there. Got a feeling we may see a big un.

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Old 08-25-2021, 07:38 AM   #85
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Originally Posted by esoct25 View Post
Some hot water out there. Got a feeling we may see a big un.

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Yup. Just hope it steers clear of us.
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Old 08-25-2021, 07:44 AM   #86
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well that sucks....
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Old 08-25-2021, 08:01 AM   #87
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Most models are all over Louisiana as a strong or major hurricane this morning. The eastward shift has to do with a weakness in the southeast ridge and a stronger system (possibly shooting or skirting the Yucatan Channel) which tend to move more poleward trying to find that weakness. NONE of this is written in stone and I'd expect shifts in either direction over the next couple of days. We don't even have a center of circulation to track at the present time BUT modeling has gotten a lot better in the past 10 years.



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Old 08-25-2021, 08:03 AM   #88
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UGH! Laura hit us last yr on August 27. Still haven't finished dealing with the mess
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Old 08-25-2021, 08:07 AM   #89
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Originally Posted by elgato View Post
UGH! Laura hit us last yr on August 27. Still haven't finished dealing with the mess
Same
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Old 08-25-2021, 08:15 AM   #90
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Man was hoping this was going to be a nice tropical depression to dump good rain on central Texas.
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Old 08-25-2021, 08:23 AM   #91
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UGH! Laura hit us last yr on August 27. Still haven't finished dealing with the mess
Yep. Southeast Texas and Southwestern Louisiana are pretty storm weary from Laura and Delta last year. Don't want to deal with another one!
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Old 08-25-2021, 09:20 AM   #92
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Anxiously awaiting until this weekend for the track to get more clear (Hopefully).
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Old 08-25-2021, 11:12 AM   #93
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Watching.........................
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Old 08-25-2021, 11:24 AM   #94
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Fill up your gas tanks!
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Old 08-25-2021, 12:37 PM   #95
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Tropical Tidbits

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/
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Old 08-25-2021, 12:53 PM   #96
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Long story short. The north west gulf coast should watch this one as it develops, and they won't know much more until Monday/Tuesday next week.
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Old 08-25-2021, 01:01 PM   #97
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Long story short. The north west gulf coast should watch this one as it develops, and they won't know much more until Monday/Tuesday next week.
I believe a better understanding of where its going will occur by Saturday with a landfall Monday/ Tuesday
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Old 08-25-2021, 01:23 PM   #98
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I hope we get it, but my guess is LA. They been getting it all the last 12 months
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Old 08-25-2021, 01:29 PM   #99
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I hope we get it, but my guess is LA. They been getting it all the last 12 months
I hope you get it all.
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Old 08-25-2021, 01:33 PM   #100
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I believe a better understanding of where its going will occur by Saturday with a landfall Monday/ Tuesday
Yep.
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