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Old 05-20-2021, 04:07 PM   #1
Johnny
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Default Watching the Gulf (Tropical Weather Threat)

Not sure if a thread had been started on this but today, most models are showing a tropical system effecting the Texas coast as soon as tomorrow eve/night. This has a chance at making a run at a tropical storm...we will see. Satellite presentation definitely has that LOOK.




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Old 05-20-2021, 04:08 PM   #2
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Please Lord, not already.
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Old 05-20-2021, 04:09 PM   #3
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I hope not.
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Old 05-20-2021, 04:12 PM   #4
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Wow.....more rain on top of the saturated coast already
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Old 05-20-2021, 04:13 PM   #5
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This could be a long summer
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Old 05-20-2021, 04:15 PM   #6
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Looks like it's getting sheared by winds when looking at loop.
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Old 05-20-2021, 04:16 PM   #7
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Any indication yet what part of the coast is most likely to be affected?
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Old 05-20-2021, 04:22 PM   #8
cj7zrcool
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Great. We have reservations @ the Hotel Galvez the 26th, 27th, & 28th.
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Old 05-20-2021, 04:25 PM   #9
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tag...
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Old 05-20-2021, 04:41 PM   #10
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No.
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Old 05-20-2021, 04:42 PM   #11
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Great.........

I do very much appreciate your threads on the weather though. Please keep them coming!
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Old 05-20-2021, 04:51 PM   #12
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Hell why not?
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Old 05-20-2021, 04:54 PM   #13
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Watching unfortunately


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Old 05-20-2021, 04:58 PM   #14
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Good Lard, I’m on da beach now I better run for the hills
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Old 05-20-2021, 04:58 PM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Farmdog View Post
Hell why not?
Thatís what Iím talking about. We survived Harvey, bring that **** on.
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Old 05-20-2021, 04:59 PM   #16
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Too soon!

This is the reason we just finished elevating our house. It was something else to watch them tunnel under the slab, set 30 bottle jacks and then pick up a 200,000 lb house. We said no more after Harvey. Now we are high and dry and we can focus on helping our friends/family/neighbors/community when the next major flooding event strikes.
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Old 05-20-2021, 05:21 PM   #17
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Thanks Johnny
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Old 05-20-2021, 05:23 PM   #18
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Looks like it may be a good time/reason to head for northern climates.
Mrs. Lobo has been wantin a good reason for a vacation.
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Old 05-20-2021, 05:25 PM   #19
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Lincoln County Next stop

Was gonna run home to Bama but deerflies, yellow flies, horse flies, ticks, chiggers, snakes, and 165% humidity

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Old 05-20-2021, 05:29 PM   #20
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Just got my traps all chased down after the two squalls that came thru
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Old 05-20-2021, 05:33 PM   #21
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I'm out in the gulf right now on a rig ( floater ) & we're bouncing around like a big popping cork...... last report we got was ......winds 38 kts & 15 -18 seas......LET ER BUCK !!!!!
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Old 05-20-2021, 05:37 PM   #22
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Neck View Post
Too soon!

This is the reason we just finished elevating our house. It was something else to watch them tunnel under the slab, set 30 bottle jacks and then pick up a 200,000 lb house. We said no more after Harvey. Now we are high and dry and we can focus on helping our friends/family/neighbors/community when the next major flooding event strikes.
What did that cost? Asking for a friend 😳😄
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Old 05-20-2021, 05:52 PM   #23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Neck View Post
Too soon!



This is the reason we just finished elevating our house. It was something else to watch them tunnel under the slab, set 30 bottle jacks and then pick up a 200,000 lb house. We said no more after Harvey. Now we are high and dry and we can focus on helping our friends/family/neighbors/community when the next major flooding event strikes.
There are some folks who raised their houses 4 feet after the last flood in Lake Charles. Der houses flooded on Monday

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Old 05-20-2021, 05:53 PM   #24
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Looks like it may be a good time/reason to head for northern climates.
Mrs. Lobo has been wantin a good reason for a vacation.
After last summer's 2 hurricanes and Mondays flash flood our entire family and friends are talking about where to move. We'll buy a whole mountain

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Old 05-20-2021, 06:04 PM   #25
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Quote:
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After last summer's 2 hurricanes and Mondays flash flood our entire family and friends are talking about where to move. We'll buy a whole mountain

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Man, y'all have been through the ringer over there. I can't imagine flooding several times in just a few years. I feel for folks that have been dealing with that. I know some folks aren't able to just pick up and move but I dang sure would if I was in that situation and could.
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Old 05-20-2021, 06:18 PM   #26
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Man, y'all have been through the ringer over there. I can't imagine flooding several times in just a few years. I feel for folks that have been dealing with that. I know some folks aren't able to just pick up and move but I dang sure would if I was in that situation and could.
First hurricane ripped the roofs and bricks off. Next hurricane ripped off the tarps and brought a flood. Now, less than a year later folks are just now moving back in their repaired houses and it floods

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Old 05-20-2021, 06:21 PM   #27
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Just what we need. All this rain has flooded the river house again. The mouth of the San Bernard is silted in and won’t allow the river to drain properly. All the new building around Rosenberg and hwy59 is pushing a lot of drainage to the river and can’t get the water out of it
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Old 05-20-2021, 06:41 PM   #28
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Perfect timing. My wife and BIL were looking to rent a beach house (Galveston) for a last minute family getaway. Just saved me 2 grand.

For all those either flooded out already or on the sidelines praying you don't my prayers go up for you.

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Old 05-20-2021, 06:52 PM   #29
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They were already doing rescues in Hamshire Fannet area near winnie. Hopefully it moves through quick and doesnt sit
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Old 05-20-2021, 06:58 PM   #30
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Great. We have reservations @ the Hotel Galvez the 26th, 27th, & 28th.
Don't get the eggs Benedict with crab. That's all I'll say. Awesome hotel otherwise!
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Old 05-20-2021, 07:17 PM   #31
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Well **** it. Let it rain and ruin everything forever.
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Old 05-20-2021, 07:25 PM   #32
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I appreciate all our weather guys on TBH. Please keep us updated, prayers for all
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Old 05-20-2021, 07:45 PM   #33
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Well **** it. Let it rain and ruin everything forever.
We're pretty much already there

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Old 05-20-2021, 07:47 PM   #34
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Default Watching the Gulf (Tropical Weather Threat)

NOAA says 20% chance of development... at least as of 0800 this morning

The weather app I use on my phone (windy) does show unmistakable wind rotation around that low


Last edited by K. Lane; 05-20-2021 at 07:49 PM.
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Old 05-20-2021, 07:50 PM   #35
panhandlehunter
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Default Watching the Gulf (Tropical Weather Threat)

Quote:
Originally Posted by warrington View Post
Just what we need. All this rain has flooded the river house again. The mouth of the San Bernard is silted in and wonít allow the river to drain properly. All the new building around Rosenberg and hwy59 is pushing a lot of drainage to the river and canít get the water out of it


Yep. In the house again for the third time since Harvey. Fortunately the downstairs is concrete and cinder blocks, so no damage, just clean up.


Last edited by panhandlehunter; 05-20-2021 at 07:53 PM.
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Old 05-20-2021, 08:44 PM   #36
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It a rough son of a gun out here now.
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Old 05-20-2021, 09:00 PM   #37
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Originally Posted by axisbuck24 View Post
I appreciate all our weather guys on TBH. Please keep us updated, prayers for all
X2

Well said axisbuck24. Lots of valuable weather info here, and prayers for those going through more rain and flooding.
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Old 05-20-2021, 09:04 PM   #38
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Berger says no big deal

https://spacecityweather.com/about-t...o-disturbance/
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Old 05-20-2021, 09:08 PM   #39
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We recently purchased a new to us house. Way back in the woods! We cannot get to it because the roads are flooded!!!! House is dry, it sits on top of a hill. It would be nice if the rain would stop long enough to get back there.


Johnny, thanx for the report. You my man, are more accurate than any TV weather man.
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Old 05-20-2021, 10:20 PM   #40
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Bring it
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Old 05-20-2021, 10:25 PM   #41
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Wait a minute!!!
Didnít biden say if he got elected, there would be no more storms???
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Old 05-20-2021, 10:51 PM   #42
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WTH? We are in Port Isabel on the water now so will be keeping a close eye on this thread!
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Old 05-20-2021, 11:48 PM   #43
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JRL View Post
Pretty close to what I'm thinking. A disorganized tropical system will give people up and down the coast rain from feeder bands that will come and go. This has a chance of ramping up into a minimal tropical storm and if so, the impacts should be about the same either way. This is the type of system most of us would welcome with open arms in mid August after not seeing rain for about 2 months.lol

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Old 05-21-2021, 10:46 AM   #44
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I see they have upped the chance of development to 40% but I don't think we'll get more rain than what was already forecasted through Saturday. I was supposed to build some fence on Saturday but it looks like that probably isn't happening.
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Old 05-21-2021, 12:08 PM   #45
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Just got this
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Old 05-21-2021, 12:24 PM   #46
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Wait a minute!!!
Didnít biden say if he got elected, there would be no more storms???
Yes, but not for red states.
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Old 05-21-2021, 12:28 PM   #47
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Mid August is time for picking and ginning cotton so we can throw seed In rolls of wire
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Old 05-21-2021, 02:02 PM   #48
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Just got this


Perfect right on top of me . On top of the 18 inches of rain I have had so far this week .
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Old 05-21-2021, 02:08 PM   #49
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Looks like a Friday mid-night landfall that pushes through quickly.
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Old 05-21-2021, 03:53 PM   #50
Neck
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Quote:
Originally Posted by zztex View Post
What did that cost? Asking for a friend ����
$110k but after the grant money and the ICC policy our out of pocket was nowhere near that amount.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Duckologist View Post
There are some folks who raised their houses 4 feet after the last flood in Lake Charles. Der houses flooded on Monday

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That is terrible. Talk about a gut punch.

We are now twice as high as the worst recorded flood event for our area so we are pretty confident but we know better than to bet against mother nature. Never say never. If nothing else, we are up out of the floodplain now so our flood insurance costs dropped dramatically.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Strummer View Post
Perfect right on top of me . On top of the 18 inches of rain I have had so far this week .
The good news is it looks like it is moving pretty fast so hopefully it won't have enough time to dump much more rain on y'all.
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