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Corona - PLEASE READ
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I said it as well as a few others weeks ago that these models are just like climate change models. The information spit out is based on the information put in. If the agenda is it scare the hell out of people you put in information that will spit out doom and gloom.
This lady has it......looks real bad
[ame="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h6z7nrcjv0A"]Long Island mom describes coronavirus symptoms, testing struggles | New York Post - YouTube[/ame]
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Originally posted by pilar View PostI don’t know about that propaganda spreading news source
Check out the agenda ad’s paying for the clickbait
Not saying that it’s not legitimate but that source is kinda fake and illegitimate
What makes it a propaganda spreading news source because it isnt CNN?
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Originally posted by pilar View PostI don’t know about that propaganda spreading news source
Check out the agenda ad’s paying for the clickbait
Not saying that it’s not legitimate but that source is kinda fake and illegitimate
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Originally posted by roaddawg View Post
From WSJ: Mortality rate could be as low as .01%....one-tenth of flu mortality rate of .1%
Way too early to know for sure. But shows that initial estimates may have been way off.
Both authors are also Stanford professors in medicine. So you don't think they are just some quacks spouting off.
Eran Bendavid
ASSOCIATE PROFESSOR OF MEDICINE (PRIMARY CARE AND POPULATION HEALTH), SENIOR FELLOW AT THE WOODS INSTITUTE FOR THE ENVIRONMENT AND ASSOCIATE PROFESSOR, BY COURTESY, OF HEALTH RESEARCH AND POLICY
Medicine - Primary Care and Population Health
Jayanta Bhattacharya
PROFESSOR OF MEDICINE, SENIOR FELLOW AT THE STANFORD INSTITUTE FOR ECONOMIC POLICY RESEARCH AND, BY COURTESY, AT THE FREEMAN SPOGLI INSTITUTE AND PROFESSOR, BY COURTESY, OF HEALTH RESEARCH AND POLICY AND OF ECONOMICS
Medicine - Primary Care Outcomes Research
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Here is the current projection from a scientist/mathematician that has been posting his models on facebook lately. So far, his models have been very accurate. He is projecting new cases to peak within the next few days (tomorrow in Texas). We'll see if his models continue to be accurate or not, but he's been nailing it so far. His name is Douglas G. Frank if you want to look him up there. He posts daily updates for states as well as the national model. Very interesting to follow.
Vastly different projections, compared to the questionable ones LWC is warning about in the link above.
The solid line is his model projection. The dotted line is the actual data to date.
Last edited by Shane; 03-25-2020, 02:37 PM.
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If his model projections hold true, then we should start to see the daily number of new cases begin to drop exponentially next week. The last 2 days in Texas have seen big increases in new cases, above the model projection. But that appears to be due to the lack of testing early on, and test results just now starting to come back in bigger numbers to get caught up. He said the peak date for the state might get bumped back a couple days, due to that. But still following the same pattern as the rest of the nation.Last edited by Shane; 03-25-2020, 02:41 PM.
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It is remarkable how almost all media, politicians and policy makers have dutifully parroted the worst-case scenario projections without question. As has been noted above there are numerous scientists well-respected in this field who think the odds of widespread disaster - while possible - are quite low. (You just don't hear from them, much like climate scientists who refuse to join the climate alarmism.) It's interesting how many normal citizens, while admitting we aren't scientists have had a gut feel about this since the panic started. I think it is generally because of the way it's been presented and by whom. In all my talks with clients, friends and family members over the last 3-4 weeks I've yet to talk to somebody who doesn't think this thing is overblown at least to some degree. There is still time for us all to be proven wrong I suppose but I'm becoming more convinced that we won't.Last edited by jerp; 03-25-2020, 03:10 PM.
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