Interesting data. I did not realize how historically close some of the House races were where TX Republican incumbents held onto their seats. I voted for GOP Incumbent Kenny Marchant this year, as I did in 2016, 2014 and 2012. Congressman Marchant's 24th Congressional District was redrawn after the 2010 census to heavily favor Republicans. In 2012 Marchant won the district by 25 points. In 2014 he won it by 33 points. In 2016 he won it by 17 points. This year he squeaked by with a 3.2 point victory.
The times they are a-changin' in Texas...
Rise of big cities push Texas to swing-state territory — maybe by 2020
https://thehill.com/homenews/state-w...-maybe-by-2020
What worries Republicans even more is a slower moving shift in suburban attitudes. The counties that surround San Antonio, Austin and Dallas are some of the fastest-growing in the country, and the thousands of new voters who move there are not as conservative as those who have lived in Texas all their lives.
Cruz won Denton County, just north of Dallas, by 32 points in 2012, when he first won his seat. Trump beat Hillary Clinton there by 20 points. Cruz carried Denton again in 2018 — but by just 7 points.
Cruz won neighboring Collin County by 32 points in 2012. Trump won it by 16, and Cruz carried it this year by 6 points.
Cruz’s opponent, Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D), carried five counties that Cruz won six years ago, including Harris County and neighboring Fort Bend; Williamson and Hays counties, in the Austin suburbs; and Tarrant County, next door to Dallas.
The shifting suburbs will put some Republican members of Congress on Democratic target lists in 2020. Rep. Kenny Marchant (R) won reelection to his suburban Dallas-Fort Worth seat by just 3.2 percentage points. Rep. Michael McCaul (R) won another term in his district, which bridges the suburbs of Austin and Houston, by just 4 points.
Rep. John Carter (R) fended off a well-financed Democrat to hold his seat along Interstate 35 by three points. Three new members of Congress, Reps.-elect Dan Crenshaw (R), Chip Roy (R) and Ron Wright (R), all won their seats by fewer than 10 points.
“There were a number of other seats that were unexpectedly close,” Anchia said. “As you’re looking at the electoral map, there were a bunch of Democrats who didn’t win but who came really close in districts that were not perceived to be competitive.”
The times they are a-changin' in Texas...
Rise of big cities push Texas to swing-state territory — maybe by 2020
https://thehill.com/homenews/state-w...-maybe-by-2020
What worries Republicans even more is a slower moving shift in suburban attitudes. The counties that surround San Antonio, Austin and Dallas are some of the fastest-growing in the country, and the thousands of new voters who move there are not as conservative as those who have lived in Texas all their lives.
Cruz won Denton County, just north of Dallas, by 32 points in 2012, when he first won his seat. Trump beat Hillary Clinton there by 20 points. Cruz carried Denton again in 2018 — but by just 7 points.
Cruz won neighboring Collin County by 32 points in 2012. Trump won it by 16, and Cruz carried it this year by 6 points.
Cruz’s opponent, Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D), carried five counties that Cruz won six years ago, including Harris County and neighboring Fort Bend; Williamson and Hays counties, in the Austin suburbs; and Tarrant County, next door to Dallas.
The shifting suburbs will put some Republican members of Congress on Democratic target lists in 2020. Rep. Kenny Marchant (R) won reelection to his suburban Dallas-Fort Worth seat by just 3.2 percentage points. Rep. Michael McCaul (R) won another term in his district, which bridges the suburbs of Austin and Houston, by just 4 points.
Rep. John Carter (R) fended off a well-financed Democrat to hold his seat along Interstate 35 by three points. Three new members of Congress, Reps.-elect Dan Crenshaw (R), Chip Roy (R) and Ron Wright (R), all won their seats by fewer than 10 points.
“There were a number of other seats that were unexpectedly close,” Anchia said. “As you’re looking at the electoral map, there were a bunch of Democrats who didn’t win but who came really close in districts that were not perceived to be competitive.”
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