Tropical Storm Irma - now Hurricane Irma

[Sackett]

I have intently listened to Johnny and others over the years and they are 100% accurate that The Euro model is time and again the most accurate and up to date. If you look at Harvey, they had it going almost exactly where it went days before The GFS adjusted.

We could all use some good news and good, cool weather!

[TexaRican]

Still praying for all my family in Puerto Rico. Looking like they might dodge this one!

[FLASH_OUTDOORS]

Yes sir. I'm hoping this thread dies quickly.

Some other good news...it looks like models have lost the feature they were trying to form in the Bay of Campeche next week.

Other good news is we will have a fairly decent cool front sweep through the state the middle if next week giving us our first taste of fall!

All in all, great news across the board this morning but will continue to monitor Irma over the next few days.

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Thank god!!! Hoping this remains the case.


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[Hot4huntin]

Outstanding news!

[Etxbuckman]

Thank God!!! Hoping this remains the case.


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A-men!

[Antlers86]

The latest Euro I came across has Irma coming into the Gulf and landfall between CC and Louisiana! My only thought is the crew I follow on FB is a day or 2 behind with info. Either way Irma is going to be ugly. Johnny I hope your right and not this.

[ccbluewater]

The latest Euro I came across has Irma coming into the Gulf and landfall between CC and Louisiana! My only thought is the crew I follow on FB is a day or 2 behind with info. Either way Irma is going to be ugly. Johnny I hope your right and not this.

I have yet to see any models that show anything close to a Corpus or Louisiana landfall. Simply because they don't project that far. That sort of prediction will just incite panic in people due to the current circumstances.

Models will continue to flip flop directions in the near term until they really latch on to something. Each run last couple of days has been different in ridging/troughing. Just my opinion however.

[Cur_Dog]

[Sackett]

It's 10 days out still and I'm sure it will change again, but the Euro now has a direct hit around Myrtle Beach/Charleston SC. I hope it changes.

[HoustonHunter]

Johnny, what's the latest?

[Johnny]

Both GFS and Euro models show Irma coming at Florida then making a strong north turn and bringing Irma up the East Coast. Latest GFS has Irma slamming into North Carolina it looks like as an 885mb hurricane which is insane. Hopefully this one will remain over open water and not effect anyone. The trend still remains that Irma will stay out of the Gulf of Mexico.

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[birddoggin]

At 885mb, does that make it pretty close to the lowest pressure hurricane that would make landfall or am I way off? just trying to learn a bit more

Joseph

[RedRaider323]

882mb is the lowest recorded in the Atlantic. Cat 5 Hurricane Wilma.

[BURTONboy]

882mb is the lowest recorded in the Atlantic. Cat 5 Hurricane Wilma.

Wilma - Irma, that doesnt sound good for the east coast. Hopefully it stears out in the middle of nowhere and falls apart.

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[Johnny]

The latest GFS run has an 884mb cat5+ monster hitting South Florida. Absolutely brutal. Or course this is just one run but it seems like Irma could be a serious threat from Florida and along the East Coast.



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