Means that you didn't draw. People that did draw have a certain amount of time to purchase their permits. If they don't purchase them for whatever reason their permits will be put back in the "hopper" for a second draw. If all permits get purchased the first time there will not be a second draw.
Something to think about for you guys that think those preference points are going be a lot of help. If there are 100 people (or points in the drawing) putting in for 1 permit you have a 1% chance of drawing. If you have 2 pp then you have a 2% chance of drawing. Your odds just doubled but you have a 98% chance you won't draw. And a lot of these drawings have worse odds than in the example. I think I have 7 pp archery deer this year. Odds are I will not draw if I put in for one of the better (low odds) draws but I will continue to try. I'm not very optimistic though. Lol.
We put in for 11 categories, with a group of 4 guys. Used to get drawn every other year or so, until they changed the system. We’re getting pretty stacked on points, so maybe it will happen this year. 0 fer 2 so far.
Something to think about for you guys that think those preference points are going be a lot of help. If there are 100 people (or points in the drawing) putting in for 1 permit you have a 1% chance of drawing. If you have 2 pp then you have a 2% chance of drawing. Your odds just doubled but you have a 98% chance you won't draw. And a lot of these drawings have worse odds than in the example. I think I have 7 pp archery deer this year. Odds are I will not draw if I put in for one of the better (low odds) draws but I will continue to try. I'm not very optimistic though. Lol.
I have 12 PPs for pronghorn
~5000 applicants for less than 10 permits every year
Something to think about for you guys that think those preference points are going be a lot of help. If there are 100 people (or points in the drawing) putting in for 1 permit you have a 1% chance of drawing. If you have 2 pp then you have a 2% chance of drawing. Your odds just doubled but you have a 98% chance you won't draw. And a lot of these drawings have worse odds than in the example. I think I have 7 pp archery deer this year. Odds are I will not draw if I put in for one of the better (low odds) draws but I will continue to try. I'm not very optimistic though. Lol.
The odds listed on the tpwd website don't show preference points. So if a hunt shows 1,000 applicants, that means 1,000 people applied, who know how many points each one had. You can't calculate your actual odds since you don't have all the information.
The odds listed on the tpwd website don't show preference points. So if a hunt shows 1,000 applicants, that means 1,000 people applied, who know how many points each one had. You can't calculate your actual odds since you don't have all the information.
That's why I put points in parenthesis in the example. Bottom line is it's a very low odds even with pp in most of the better draws. That said, I still will apply for some. Somebody has to get drawn.
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