You can see the low in the upper levels spinning here, just south of Louisiana. Its moving SW fairly rapidly, if the storm was wound up already and fairly strong I think the ULL would have minimal affect on it. But in these early stages I could entertain a storm going farther north than expected right now. There is axweakness in the ridge over Tx so we are definitely in the line of fire, how far north or south along the coast is still a best guess...
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