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#1 |
Pope & Young
![]() Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Richmond, TX
Hunt In: Sutton County
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Breaker - 19, Johnny, you got your ears on?
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#2 |
Pope & Young
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: Magnolia
Hunt In: The woods
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Tagging for weatherman Johnny
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#3 |
Pope & Young
![]() Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Richmond, TX
Hunt In: Sutton County
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I hope the GFS is wrong on this one as it has the system that came off The Yucatan coming just offshore central Louisiana as a weak TS or depression and stalling out for 2-1/2 days a la TS Allison in 2000. That would bring a ton of rain to areas of LA and MS already saturated.
Forecast Models - Tropical Tidbits http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ |
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#4 |
Ten Point
Join Date: Sep 2014
Location: Metromess, TX
Hunt In: Fannin Co
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Euro is typically more accurate than GFS but at this point too early in the game and will most likely be a blend/average between the two. Direction will be dependent on timing of ridging and troughing which will pull or push the direction of this storm. Would like to hear Johnny's thoughts. I trust his take on it
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#5 |
Six Point
Join Date: Nov 2013
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In for the Green Screen's forecast.
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#6 |
Ten Point
![]() Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: Polk County
Hunt In: Elkhart, Splendora, Laneville & Throckmorton
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Come on t*rd floater! We need the rain. My place is a powder keg.
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#7 |
Four Point
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: 5th ward
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Wont sniff the gulf!
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#8 | |
Pope & Young
![]() Join Date: Oct 2006
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#9 |
Pope & Young
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Angleton , Texas
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Tuned in and waiting on Johnny for his thoughts.
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#10 |
Ten Point
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Rosharon, Tx.
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Tagged
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#11 |
Six Point
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Cypress
Hunt In: Freer
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#12 |
Ten Point
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NW Houston Area
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In for the discussion here or on the other. Hardcore weather is a ghost town. 72 hours from the high probability of a tropical storm/flooding event along the gulf coast and all is pretty quiet.
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#13 | |
Six Point
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Cypress
Hunt In: Freer
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http://forums.khou.com/viewforum.php?f=2 The best tropical board, in my opinion, is storm2k.org. Look in the Talking tropics, or once a storm is designated an Invest/TD/TS/HUR the active storms pages. http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/index.php |
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#14 |
Four Point
Join Date: Sep 2012
Location: Tomball, TX
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So is it time to evacuate?
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#15 |
Ten Point
Join Date: Nov 2015
Location: Burr
Hunt In: Down South
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Latest models... keeps inching closer and closer with every new update
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#16 |
Pope & Young
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: The Hills
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We're headed to PCB in a few days. Storms need to chill out.
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#17 |
Six Point
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Cypress
Hunt In: Freer
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The way it looks, even if the storm came ashore on the TX Coast, the heaviest impact is going to be the very heavy rains that the Northern Gulf Coast states get.. Saw the 7 Day Rainfall chart from the WPC and its slamming the SE LA & MS/AL coast with upwards of 8-10" of rain.. and totals in places could be way higher.
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#18 |
Ten Point
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NW Houston Area
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Ccbluewater I expect the red and orange to start shifting west along with the models.
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#19 |
Six Point
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Cypress
Hunt In: Freer
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It will to some extent, but those areas pointed out will still be getting inundated with heavy rains far East of the center. Almost all of the convection at this point is well East of where the "center" is being placed.
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#20 | |
Ten Point
![]() Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: Polk County
Hunt In: Elkhart, Splendora, Laneville & Throckmorton
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#21 |
Pope & Young
![]() Join Date: Oct 2006
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#22 |
Ten Point
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NW Houston Area
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Any word on recon flight?
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#23 |
Ten Point
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: San Antonio
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#24 |
Ten Point
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: Georgetown
Hunt In: Hare/Granger, Tx P.S. Theres no deer in Hare
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If you want up to the minute info on recon flights and models Storm2k is a good place to look.
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#25 |
Pope & Young
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Casper,Tx
Hunt In: Nacogdoches,Tx
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Bring it
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#26 |
Pope & Young
![]() Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Alvin, Texas
Hunt In: The Red Dirt Area In Doss, Texas!
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Looks like the OK suckage is pulling it in!
Sons 7th birthday party is Saturday. .....so either before or after will work. Preferably after. |
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#27 |
Ten Point
Join Date: Nov 2015
Location: Burr
Hunt In: Down South
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#28 |
Ten Point
Join Date: Oct 2013
Hunt In: All over Texas
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Things have gotten dry in a hurry out in Walker County, at least in my little piece. We could use a good soaking right about now. This is when it normally gets unbearably hot and dry until late august.
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#29 |
Eight Point
![]() Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: Fort Worth
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The hill country is cursed. 0.10"
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#30 |
Six Point
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Cypress
Hunt In: Freer
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Recon is en route,and should be onsite around 3PM to 93L. Another plane is already flying 92L currently.
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#31 |
Ten Point
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: San Antonio
Hunt In: Karnes, La Salle, and Sutton Counties
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No kidding. These back to back high 90s are going to start taking a toll on everything really soon.
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#32 | |
Pope & Young
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: San Antonio
Hunt In: Dry Creek Ranch-Real County
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#33 |
Six Point
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Cypress
Hunt In: Freer
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Latest Euro has this sitting offshore of the Freeport-Galveston area Thursday morning as a Moderate Tropical Storm, although weakening a tad as it approaches the coast.
Canadian has a little stronger system basically coming up West side of Galveston. GFS and its parallel model are still further East. Recon should help the models, and if its designated the NHC will start issuing advisories and they are way more reliable than the constant swings of the models. Hopefully that is what happens, but not sure if they will find enough of a closed circulation to do so. Kinda get the feeling Houston area wont get much rain out of this, but South La is going to get way more than they want. Just my opinion however, and please stay updated through NOAA/NHC as this unfolds. |
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#34 |
Pope & Young
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Angleton , Texas
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Any update?
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#35 | |
Pope & Young
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Kingwood
Hunt In: ETX
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#36 |
Pope & Young
![]() Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Alvin, Texas
Hunt In: The Red Dirt Area In Doss, Texas!
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#37 |
Pope & Young
![]() Join Date: May 2015
Location: The Woodlands
Hunt In: Leon/Madsion County
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#38 |
Pope & Young
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Angleton , Texas
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#39 |
Pope & Young
Join Date: Oct 2006
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got t.s.don this afternoon. don't think it will grow much?.......http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphi..._with_line.png
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#40 | |
Pope & Young
![]() Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Richmond, TX
Hunt In: Sutton County
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#41 |
Ten Point
Join Date: Aug 2009
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Top. Anything going on?
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#42 |
Pope & Young
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Houston
Hunt In: Mainly Guide Now
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Hillary is churning in the Pacific. Would be something to see it hit the socialist republic named Hawaii............
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#43 |
Pope & Young
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Golden Triangle
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#44 |
Pope & Young
Join Date: Oct 2006
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Tropical Storm Franklin in the western Caribbean. Moving into an increasingly favorable environment for further development, Franklin is likely to strengthen as it moves toward the Yucatan over the next 24 hours. Tropical Storm warnings are now in effect for the Yucatan Peninsula, as impacts in that area may be felt as early as Monday afternoon. From there, this system should move across the Bay of Campeche and into eastern Mexico late Wednesday into early Thursday. Heavy rain and gusty winds are likely in the aforementioned areas, but at this time, no U.S. impacts are expected.
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#45 | |
Pope & Young
![]() Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Alvin, Texas
Hunt In: The Red Dirt Area In Doss, Texas!
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#46 |
Ten Point
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Giddings
Hunt In: Lee, Fayette, KENDALL
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we are leaving for south Padre this afternoon and staying till Saturday. Is it going to be a wet one down there?
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#47 |
Pope & Young
![]() Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Alvin, Texas
Hunt In: The Red Dirt Area In Doss, Texas!
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#48 |
Six Point
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Cypress
Hunt In: Freer
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Franklin is on the verge of blowing up! Best looking storm in the Atlantic so far this season as of this morning, and on the verge of becoming a Hurricane; possibly as early as today. Recon flight will be there later. Could see the track line bend up a bit north of where they are showing now, but still looks like a track into Mexico is almost a lock.
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#49 |
Pope & Young
![]() Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Richmond, TX
Hunt In: Sutton County
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#50 |
Pope & Young
![]() Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Richmond, TX
Hunt In: Sutton County
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I would expect some outer rain bands and increased wave height and tide, but unless it heads a lot further North, you shouldn't have anything to worry about.
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