Reply
Go Back   TexasBowhunter.com Community Discussion Forums > Topics > Around the Campfire
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 06-12-2017, 12:35 PM   #1
1369
Pope & Young
 
1369's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: San Antonio
Hunt In: Dry Creek Ranch-Real County
Default Reckon This One Will Sniff The Gulf?

Link

1369 is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-12-2017, 12:38 PM   #2
bloodstick
Ten Point
 
bloodstick's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2013
Hunt In: All over Texas
Default

any extra info in this?

edit: That low pressure system looks like a crack head, as its sniffing real hard
bloodstick is online now   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-12-2017, 12:38 PM   #3
Man
Pope & Young
 
Man's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Casper,Tx
Hunt In: Nacogdoches,Tx
Default

following
Man is online now   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-12-2017, 12:38 PM   #4
100%TtId
Ten Point
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Default

Paging Johnny redneck weatherdude...
100%TtId is online now   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-12-2017, 12:44 PM   #5
1369
Pope & Young
 
1369's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: San Antonio
Hunt In: Dry Creek Ranch-Real County
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bloodstick View Post
any extra info in this?

edit: That low pressure system looks like a crack head, as its sniffing real hard
From the above link.

Quote:
Early next week, it will be time to start watching one of the preferred breeding grounds for June Atlantic tropical storms—the Western Caribbean and Southern Gulf of Mexico. Our top three models for predicting tropical cyclone genesis—the GFS, European and UKMET models—have been persistently predicting that an area of low pressure capable of developing into a tropical depression will form near Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula around Sunday, June 18. Formation of this low may be helped out by the arrival of a tropical wave that will enter the Western Caribbean late this week. While the skill of the models to predict tropical cyclone formation so far in advance has not been established, the fact that all three of the models are calling for something to potentially develop is noteworthy, and we should be watching the waters surrounding the Yucatan Peninsula early next week.
1369 is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-12-2017, 12:46 PM   #6
bloodstick
Ten Point
 
bloodstick's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2013
Hunt In: All over Texas
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by 1369 View Post
From the above link.
Oops,
Didn't see the link
bloodstick is online now   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-12-2017, 12:48 PM   #7
JeffK
Eight Point
 
Join Date: Nov 2013
Default

It's that time. subscribed
JeffK is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-12-2017, 12:48 PM   #8
rtp
Pope & Young
 
rtp's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Sugar Land, Texas
Hunt In: open range
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by 1369 View Post
From the above link.
Im fishing Louisiana next Tuesday and Wednesday. I hope it doesnt mess that up.
rtp is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-12-2017, 12:51 PM   #9
systemnt
Pope & Young
 
systemnt's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Montgomery
Hunt In: South Texas
Default

literally laughed out loud remembering 'sniff the gulf' from last year....
that was some good chit.
in for johnny's enlightenment on the topic.
systemnt is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-12-2017, 01:09 PM   #10
Man
Pope & Young
 
Man's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Casper,Tx
Hunt In: Nacogdoches,Tx
Default

Here's my prediction...
Attached Images
 
Man is online now   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-12-2017, 01:10 PM   #11
denimdeerslayer
Pope & Young
 
denimdeerslayer's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Hempstead
Hunt In: Waller
Default

Bring it to my place. I needs the rain....
denimdeerslayer is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-12-2017, 01:29 PM   #12
BigThicketBoy
Pope & Young
 
BigThicketBoy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: Barbers Hill Tx
Hunt In: Hardin Co
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by rtp View Post
Im fishing Louisiana next Tuesday and Wednesday. I hope it doesnt mess that up.
Its comin a **** floater now I'm Lake Charles

Sent from my XT1585 using Tapatalk
BigThicketBoy is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-12-2017, 03:39 PM   #13
TMEC
Ten Point
 
TMEC's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Hunt In: Zapata Co
Default

Johnny what you say?
TMEC is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-12-2017, 04:08 PM   #14
Fargus
Ten Point
 
Fargus's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Willis
Hunt In: DeWitt
Default

Of course it is and it's gonna land on Rockport about June 25 since we have a family trip planned for then.
Fargus is online now   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-12-2017, 04:08 PM   #15
Atfulldraw
Pope & Young
 
Atfulldraw's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Hill Country
Hunt In: a high fence, southwest of DFW.
Default

snort.
Atfulldraw is online now   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-12-2017, 04:10 PM   #16
TexasBob
Ten Point
 
TexasBob's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NW Houston Area
Default

In for the discussion. This the official thread for the season? Is hardcore weather no more? Not working on Tapatalk.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
TexasBob is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-12-2017, 04:11 PM   #17
Artos
Pope & Young
 
Artos's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Deep South TX
Hunt In: Deep South TX
Default

tagged...the mouth of the rio grande is calling!!
Artos is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-12-2017, 05:35 PM   #18
texanatc
Six Point
 
texanatc's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cleburne
Hunt In: Aquilla/Whitney
Default

In. Goin down to surfside last week of june.
texanatc is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-12-2017, 05:45 PM   #19
elgato
Ten Point
 
Join Date: Feb 2013
Default

I'll be in Tulum all next week. It would be appropriate for a storm to develop in the Yucatan!
elgato is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-13-2017, 12:58 PM   #20
TexasBob
Ten Point
 
TexasBob's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NW Houston Area
Default

Guy on channel 13 in Houston seems interested in it. Could just be chasing viewers and website clicks too.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
TexasBob is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-13-2017, 09:50 PM   #21
steve morton
Eight Point
 
steve morton's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Shiloh
Hunt In: Limestone County
Default

Its been a while since a major storm, we may be in the marbles this year.
steve morton is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-13-2017, 09:55 PM   #22
Man
Pope & Young
 
Man's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Casper,Tx
Hunt In: Nacogdoches,Tx
Default

Not hearing much about it in the news despite my prediction
Man is online now   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-14-2017, 06:34 AM   #23
bearintex
Ten Point
 
bearintex's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Angleton
Hunt In: 20 minutes from the house!
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by TexasBob View Post
Guy on channel 13 in Houston seems interested in it. Could just be chasing viewers and website clicks too.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
That's about all the TV weathermen are good for. That and overhyping EVERY SINGLE weather event.
bearintex is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-14-2017, 06:40 AM   #24
TexasBob
Ten Point
 
TexasBob's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NW Houston Area
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bearintex View Post
That's about all the TV weathermen are good for. That and overhyping EVERY SINGLE weather event.


No joke. MIL keeps our daughter and worries about the weather. Hear every other week.. we have severe weather coming next Tuesday. *** they can barely predict it 12 hours out. Just the nature of Mother Nature.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
TexasBob is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-14-2017, 08:19 AM   #25
SabreKiller
Ten Point
 
SabreKiller's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Kerrville, Texas
Hunt In: I used to hunt in Culberson County, but now I hunt in Val Verde County.
Default All eyes are watching...

a chance for something to develop over the NW Caribbean. Probability is 20%. A strong tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic is being watched as well.
SabreKiller is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-15-2017, 08:19 AM   #26
1369
Pope & Young
 
1369's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: San Antonio
Hunt In: Dry Creek Ranch-Real County
Default



June Surprise: Twin Tropical Threats to Watch in Atlantic
1369 is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-15-2017, 08:20 AM   #27
texanatc
Six Point
 
texanatc's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cleburne
Hunt In: Aquilla/Whitney
Default

Crap.
texanatc is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-15-2017, 08:24 AM   #28
Pineywoods
Ten Point
 
Pineywoods's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: New Caney
Hunt In: Elkhart, Splendora, Laneville & Throckmorton
Default

Hmmm. We could use some more rain. Bring it on.
Pineywoods is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-15-2017, 08:29 AM   #29
SabreKiller
Ten Point
 
SabreKiller's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Kerrville, Texas
Hunt In: I used to hunt in Culberson County, but now I hunt in Val Verde County.
Default From this morning's NWS..

An area of disturbed weather associated with a tropical wave is located well south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days while the wave moves westward at 15 to 20 mph over the low-latitude tropical Atlantic.
Formation chance through 5 days is 20%

A complex area of low pressure is expected to form over the NW Caribbean Sea and the adjacent Yucatan Peninsula by the weekend. Conditions appear to be favorable for some development of this system while it moves slowly NW towards the southern Gulf of Mexico by early next week.
Formation change through 48 hours is 0%
Formation chance through 5 days is 50%
SabreKiller is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-15-2017, 08:31 AM   #30
TexasLongball
Ten Point
 
TexasLongball's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2012
Location: Katy, TX
Hunt In: New Ulm and Pearsall
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by SabreKiller View Post
An area of disturbed weather associated with a tropical wave is located well south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days while the wave moves westward at 15 to 20 mph over the low-latitude tropical Atlantic.
Formation chance through 5 days is 20%

A complex area of low pressure is expected to form over the NW Caribbean Sea and the adjacent Yucatan Peninsula by the weekend. Conditions appear to be favorable for some development of this system while it moves slowly NW towards the southern Gulf of Mexico by early next week.
Formation change through 48 hours is 0%
Formation chance through 5 days is 50%
I leave for Punta Cana on Thursday. This better not mess up my flight!
TexasLongball is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-15-2017, 08:40 AM   #31
ccbluewater
Six Point
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Cypress
Hunt In: Freer
Default

Thursday morning update from Jeff Lindner of HCFCD..

NHC has increased the potential for tropical cyclone formation around the Yucatan over the next 5 days to 50%.

Tropical system possible in the Gulf of Mexico late this weekend/early next week

A complicated pattern will evolve across the western Caribbean Sea and southern Gulf of Mexico this weekend which may give rise to the formation of a tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico by late this weekend or early next week. A tropical wave currently moving through the Caribbean Sea will arrive into the western Caribbean Sea early this weekend while a northward lifting trough off the coast of Panama will interact with this wave. Convection has been increasing over much of the western Caribbean Sea over the last 24 hours and expect a continued increase in thunderstorm develop as these two features interact.

Model agreement from the ECWMF, GFS, CMC, UKMET, and many of the ensemble members show the formation of a very large surface low around the Yucatan over the weekend. While it is certainly possible for such a large surface low to develop into a tropical system, they tend to be very slow in doing so due to the massive size. What tends to be more common is that vorticity centers will rotate around the average low position and can sometimes become the dominate circulation center which can cause a plethora of forecast issues. Overall the organization of such a system takes longer than normal and can remain a disorganized mess. Several Gulf systems have developed this way and the main important feature from a system like this is to spread out the impacts over a wide area.

While the land interaction of the Yucatan will play some role in how this system develops and likely when, the overall model consensus and large size of the system should be able to overcome the interaction with the Yucatan. There is certainly enough support to have some confidence that a tropical depression or tropical storm will be forming in the south/south-central Gulf of Mexico by late this weekend.

The track of any developing tropical system will hinge on the ridge axis across the SW US and how far east that ridge axis may extend into TX. Additionally, the position of the mid and upper level ridge across the southern plains and where/how strong a weakness in this ridge over the W/NW Gulf by early next week. Models have been trending toward a ridge axis further to the north than previously expected along with the formation of an upper level weakness over the western Gulf of Mexico. This would likely help to bring any S/SC Gulf tropical system toward the WNW/NW into the western or northwestern Gulf of Mexico. It should be noted that some of the model guidance brings a stronger system more quickly northward toward the central and eastern US Gulf coast caught in the tail end of a trough over the Great Lakes. This solution appears less likely given the fact that the developing system will likely be disorganized and not as strong as those models are forecasting.

Most confident solution at this time is to bring a tropical depression/tropical storm away from the NW coast of the Yucatan Sun/Mon on a WNW motion and into the SC Gulf of MX Tues/Wed and then into the W Gulf of MX by the end of next week. A large mass of potential tropical storm force winds may cover much of the central Gulf of Mexico by the middle of next week.

Points of Interest:

o Actual formation of the surface center may be key to track…but may not be as important as with other systems…given the very large size
o Large size of the system will have far reaching impacts
o Land interaction will complicate development over the weekend
o Track is still uncertain

Possible TX Impacts:

It is too early to be certain of any impacts along the TX coast given the uncertainty in the track forecast and what shape the system gradually develops into. Following the WNW track coordinated by NHC and WPC overnight into the western Gulf of Mexico middle to late next week would bring some degree of impacts toward the TX coast.

o Seas will likely begin to respond as early as Tuesday especially if the large mass of TS force winds forms across the northern semi-circle of the system
o As seas increase so may tides as more water is brought toward the coast in larger swells. Additionally winds will back to a more ESE/E direction across the northern Gulf which is a favorable tidal increase direction for the TX coast
o At some point could see a significant increase in moisture into TX if the center reaches the western Gulf allowing deep ESE flow through the column to transport copious moisture toward the coast.

Impacts, if any, will continue to be defined and clarified over the coming days.

Residents along the Gulf coast should closely monitor the progress of this system. Now is the time to make sure hurricane preparation plans and kits are fully stocked and in place.
ccbluewater is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-15-2017, 11:30 AM   #32
Whitetail83
Eight Point
 
Whitetail83's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Lake Jackson
Hunt In: Texas
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ccbluewater View Post
Thursday morning update from Jeff Lindner of HCFCD..

NHC has increased the potential for tropical cyclone formation around the Yucatan over the next 5 days to 50%.

Tropical system possible in the Gulf of Mexico late this weekend/early next week

A complicated pattern will evolve across the western Caribbean Sea and southern Gulf of Mexico this weekend which may give rise to the formation of a tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico by late this weekend or early next week. A tropical wave currently moving through the Caribbean Sea will arrive into the western Caribbean Sea early this weekend while a northward lifting trough off the coast of Panama will interact with this wave. Convection has been increasing over much of the western Caribbean Sea over the last 24 hours and expect a continued increase in thunderstorm develop as these two features interact.

Model agreement from the ECWMF, GFS, CMC, UKMET, and many of the ensemble members show the formation of a very large surface low around the Yucatan over the weekend. While it is certainly possible for such a large surface low to develop into a tropical system, they tend to be very slow in doing so due to the massive size. What tends to be more common is that vorticity centers will rotate around the average low position and can sometimes become the dominate circulation center which can cause a plethora of forecast issues. Overall the organization of such a system takes longer than normal and can remain a disorganized mess. Several Gulf systems have developed this way and the main important feature from a system like this is to spread out the impacts over a wide area.

While the land interaction of the Yucatan will play some role in how this system develops and likely when, the overall model consensus and large size of the system should be able to overcome the interaction with the Yucatan. There is certainly enough support to have some confidence that a tropical depression or tropical storm will be forming in the south/south-central Gulf of Mexico by late this weekend.

The track of any developing tropical system will hinge on the ridge axis across the SW US and how far east that ridge axis may extend into TX. Additionally, the position of the mid and upper level ridge across the southern plains and where/how strong a weakness in this ridge over the W/NW Gulf by early next week. Models have been trending toward a ridge axis further to the north than previously expected along with the formation of an upper level weakness over the western Gulf of Mexico. This would likely help to bring any S/SC Gulf tropical system toward the WNW/NW into the western or northwestern Gulf of Mexico. It should be noted that some of the model guidance brings a stronger system more quickly northward toward the central and eastern US Gulf coast caught in the tail end of a trough over the Great Lakes. This solution appears less likely given the fact that the developing system will likely be disorganized and not as strong as those models are forecasting.

Most confident solution at this time is to bring a tropical depression/tropical storm away from the NW coast of the Yucatan Sun/Mon on a WNW motion and into the SC Gulf of MX Tues/Wed and then into the W Gulf of MX by the end of next week. A large mass of potential tropical storm force winds may cover much of the central Gulf of Mexico by the middle of next week.

Points of Interest:

o Actual formation of the surface center may be key to track…but may not be as important as with other systems…given the very large size
o Large size of the system will have far reaching impacts
o Land interaction will complicate development over the weekend
o Track is still uncertain

Possible TX Impacts:

It is too early to be certain of any impacts along the TX coast given the uncertainty in the track forecast and what shape the system gradually develops into. Following the WNW track coordinated by NHC and WPC overnight into the western Gulf of Mexico middle to late next week would bring some degree of impacts toward the TX coast.

o Seas will likely begin to respond as early as Tuesday especially if the large mass of TS force winds forms across the northern semi-circle of the system
o As seas increase so may tides as more water is brought toward the coast in larger swells. Additionally winds will back to a more ESE/E direction across the northern Gulf which is a favorable tidal increase direction for the TX coast
o At some point could see a significant increase in moisture into TX if the center reaches the western Gulf allowing deep ESE flow through the column to transport copious moisture toward the coast.

Impacts, if any, will continue to be defined and clarified over the coming days.

Residents along the Gulf coast should closely monitor the progress of this system. Now is the time to make sure hurricane preparation plans and kits are fully stocked and in place.
Where do you find this update at?
Whitetail83 is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-15-2017, 02:05 PM   #33
Traildust
Pope & Young
 
Traildust's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Alvin, Texas
Hunt In: Friends places and Chama, NM
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Whitetail83 View Post
Where do you find this update at?
Runforyourlivesweareallfugged.com
Traildust is online now   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-15-2017, 02:18 PM   #34
ccbluewater
Six Point
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Cypress
Hunt In: Freer
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Traildust View Post
Runforyourlivesweareallfugged.com
LOL! This is an email update sent out by Jeff Lindner, and I pulled it off another weather site where it gets posted regularly. Really good information.
ccbluewater is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-15-2017, 06:38 PM   #35
Bonesplitter
Pope & Young
 
Bonesplitter's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Barbers Hill
Hunt In: Liberty,Hardin,Uvalde, Leakey and Rebel's Honky Tonk
Default

Id bet on a weak system into norther Mexico or south Tx but IF it gets lifted it could run across towards Florida as a tighter wound, stronger system IF it isnt torn apart or weakened by shear. I tend to go with the Euro model as it seems to be right more often than not. However, it is something to keep an eye on.

Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk
Bonesplitter is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-15-2017, 07:08 PM   #36
Mike Murphey
Pope & Young
 
Mike Murphey's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Deer Park, Texas
Hunt In: Fort McKavett, Texas
Default

I'm not concerned until Johnny speaks!
Mike Murphey is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-15-2017, 07:16 PM   #37
Man
Pope & Young
 
Man's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Casper,Tx
Hunt In: Nacogdoches,Tx
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Traildust View Post
Runforyourlivesweareallfugged.com
Ha!
Man is online now   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-15-2017, 07:22 PM   #38
trophy8
Pope & Young
 
trophy8's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Georgetown Texas
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Traildust View Post
Runforyourlivesweareallfugged.com
trophy8 is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-16-2017, 08:12 AM   #39
1369
Pope & Young
 
1369's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: San Antonio
Hunt In: Dry Creek Ranch-Real County
Default

5 Day Outlook



Quote:
Originally Posted by NHC
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jun 16 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Cloudiness and showers associated with a tropical wave located
several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands have
become better organized since yesterday. Additional slow
development is possible during the next few days while the wave
moves westward at 15-20 mph over the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea and the Yucatan peninsula during the
next day or two. Conditions appear to be favorable for gradual
development of this system while it moves slowly northwestward
into the southern Gulf of Mexico early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
1369 is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-16-2017, 08:26 AM   #40
SabreKiller
Ten Point
 
SabreKiller's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Kerrville, Texas
Hunt In: I used to hunt in Culberson County, but now I hunt in Val Verde County.
Default From TDEM...

An area of disturbed weather associated with a tropical wave is located well south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days while the wave moves westward at 20 mph over the low-latitude tropical Atlantic.
Formation change through 48 hours is 20%
Formation chance through 5 days is 40%


An area of low pressure is expected to form over the NW Caribbean Sea and the adjacent Yucatan Peninsula by the weekend. Conditions appear to be favorable for some development of this system while it moves slowly NW towards the southern Gulf of Mexico by early next week.
Formation change through 48 hours is 0%
Formation chance through 5 days is 60%
SabreKiller is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-16-2017, 08:49 AM   #41
Playa
Pope & Young
 
Playa's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: Lubbock
Hunt In: Coleman
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike Murphey View Post
I'm not concerned until Johnny speaks!
Bonesplitter is plenty reliable enough, especially when it comes to tropical systems
Playa is online now   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-16-2017, 08:51 AM   #42
Pineywoods
Ten Point
 
Pineywoods's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: New Caney
Hunt In: Elkhart, Splendora, Laneville & Throckmorton
Default

I don't know about y'all but I could use a good t u r d floater at my house, I'm tires of eating dust when I mow.
Pineywoods is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-16-2017, 09:50 AM   #43
ccbluewater
Six Point
 
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Cypress
Hunt In: Freer
Default

Until a surface Low is established, I am not buying any of the solutions as solid. This is going to be such a large mess of storms that its going to take a long time to get going. It should get tagged as an Invest today or tomorrow probably, and then some more Dynamic models will be ran. By Sunday evening there should be a lot better idea of what this may, or may not become.

I hope a weak, disorganized mess comes into S TX and blesses a large portion of the state with some much needed rain.. I know my yard could use it in Cypress, and lease in Freer is always needing rain!
ccbluewater is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-16-2017, 09:56 AM   #44
bloodstick
Ten Point
 
bloodstick's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2013
Hunt In: All over Texas
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ccbluewater View Post
Until a surface Low is established, I am not buying any of the solutions as solid. This is going to be such a large mess of storms that its going to take a long time to get going. It should get tagged as an Invest today or tomorrow probably, and then some more Dynamic models will be ran. By Sunday evening there should be a lot better idea of what this may, or may not become.

I hope a weak, disorganized mess comes into S TX and blesses a large portion of the state with some much needed rain.. I know my yard could use it in Cypress, and lease in Freer is always needing rain!
We have been getting rain up in Walker County every week it seems. Really moist for this time of year. Almost cant mow or cut hay at times. And i hope it stays this way. Would much rather the ground be wet than be eating dust every time i go outside.
bloodstick is online now   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-16-2017, 10:03 AM   #45
mudmauler
Six Point
 
mudmauler's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Corpus Christi
Hunt In: Concepcion, Tx
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by elgato View Post
I'll be in Tulum all next week. It would be appropriate for a storm to develop in the Yucatan!


I feel you. I'll be close to there


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
mudmauler is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-16-2017, 01:32 PM   #46
1369
Pope & Young
 
1369's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: San Antonio
Hunt In: Dry Creek Ranch-Real County
Default



Quote:
Originally Posted by NHC
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Jun 16 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Cloudiness and showers associated with a tropical wave located
several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continue
to show signs of organization. Slow development is possible during
the next few days while the wave moves westward at 15-20 mph over
the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

2. A large area of disturbed weather has formed over the western
Caribbean Sea and the adjacent portions of Central America.
Conditions appear to be favorable for gradual development of this
system while it moves slowly northwestward across the Yucatan
Peninsula this weekend and into the southern and central Gulf of
Mexico early next week. Regardless of development, heavy rains are
likely to spread over portions of Central America and the Yucatan
Peninsula during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
1369 is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-16-2017, 01:45 PM   #47
STGS
Ten Point
 
STGS's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Texas
Hunt In: Texas
Default

I am between Playa del Carmen and Cancun right now. Plenty hot with lots of frozen margaritas. 100% chance of a buzz and resulting hangover for the next 5 days.
STGS is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-16-2017, 02:05 PM   #48
rlwenzel
Ten Point
 
rlwenzel's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Yoakum Tx
Hunt In: Mexico
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by STGS View Post
I am between Playa del Carmen and Cancun right now. Plenty hot with lots of frozen margaritas. 100% chance of a buzz and resulting hangover for the next 5 days.
my kind of party lol. have fun
rlwenzel is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-17-2017, 07:32 AM   #49
TexasBob
Ten Point
 
TexasBob's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NW Houston Area
Default

Not much talk about this anywhere. That one coming in low and hot seems concerning.


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
TexasBob is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Old 06-17-2017, 07:35 AM   #50
Pineywoods
Ten Point
 
Pineywoods's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: New Caney
Hunt In: Elkhart, Splendora, Laneville & Throckmorton
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by TexasBob View Post
Not much talk about this anywhere. That one coming in low and hot seems concerning.


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
Yah I haven't heard much about it either. I was wondering if this thread would pop back up this morning so I could see a link for updates on it.
Pineywoods is offline   Reply With Quote Back To The Top
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:07 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.1
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright 1999-2012, TexasBowhunter.com