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Old 12-28-2017, 11:02 AM   #1
Johnny
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Default Arctic Blast

Figured I would move the talks from the Christmas Weather thread over to this one.

Now this is what I call a good season for cold weather. We had a cool Halloween, cool Thanksgiving, snow across Texas in early December, a cold Christmas and now the Arctic wants to pay us a visit to ring in the New Year with possibilities of a winter storm threat January 2nd/3rd (big if). Next week looks down right brutal.

Hopefully some of our other TBH weather guys will chime in on all this since I will be touch n go.





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Old 12-28-2017, 11:04 AM   #2
texasdeerhunter
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Weather underground is forecasting some very very cold temps for my area next week. They keep bouncing back and forth with rain/snow to no rain/snow
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Old 12-28-2017, 11:09 AM   #3
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Always tuned into Mr. Johnny... Thanks.
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Old 12-28-2017, 11:13 AM   #4
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Looks like it could be below freezing for 6-7 days (highs) where I live. Lows from the low teens to -4. .

Not looking forward to it.
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Old 12-28-2017, 11:15 AM   #5
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In for updates.
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Old 12-28-2017, 11:23 AM   #6
dphillips62
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The normal weather sites are all over the place for my area. Anywhere from 21 to 32 for the low on the 1st
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Old 12-28-2017, 11:26 AM   #7
bloodstick
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Weatherbug on my phone says 32 for the HIGH on Monday low of 24..... In Huntsville.
We usually get several nights of sub freezing temps each winter, but hardly ever do we get a solid 24+ hours of sub freezing or right at freezing temps. Looks to be a brutal (for our area) cold snap
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Old 12-28-2017, 11:28 AM   #8
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Following. I’m in Florida on vacation right now and we are planning on leaving on Saturday. As of right now we are going to take 3 days to drive back, but depending on what this next weather maker does, we may have to make it a 2 day trip back to Waco.

Last edited by 91cavgt; 12-28-2017 at 11:32 AM..
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Old 12-28-2017, 11:47 AM   #9
.243 WSSM
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Based on the NAM short term model looks like prime time for ice would be Sat night thru Sunday morning ending as light snow Sunday afternoon. Temps falling thru the 20s Sunday. Precip maps on NAM appear to be supportive of light to moderate freezing rain and sleet in addition to the freezing drizzle.
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Old 12-28-2017, 11:48 AM   #10
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I personally like what the overnight Euro showed with the potential for a winter storm for parts of Texas next week. The CMC is showing it as well but GFS is warmer and dry.

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Old 12-28-2017, 11:50 AM   #11
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Must be hitting to the east of me as the ten day calls for mid 20ís for lows and mid 50ís for highs.


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Old 12-28-2017, 11:51 AM   #12
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Looks like around 60 straight hours of sub-freezing temperatures for us - don't remember the last time that happened...
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Old 12-28-2017, 11:56 AM   #13
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Greattttt, have to go to buffalo NY this weekend. These temps should feel like beach weather up side buffalo though.
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Old 12-28-2017, 12:00 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Johnny View Post
I personally like what the overnight Euro showed with the potential for a winter storm for parts of Texas next week. The CMC is showing it as well but GFS is warmer and dry.

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Is this showing 4 inches of snow for us in our area Johnny?


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Old 12-28-2017, 12:02 PM   #15
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Following. I remember over Christmas break in either 83 or 84 we had several days of below freezing temps in Orange. First and only time in my 52 years I've seen parts of Adams Bayou completely frozen over from bank to opposite bank.
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Old 12-28-2017, 12:06 PM   #16
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Following
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Old 12-28-2017, 12:09 PM   #17
Johnny
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Quote:
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Is this showing 4 inches of snow for us in our area Johnny?


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Yes but subject to change. Just posting it for entertainment. Now if the Euro shows this scenario over the next few runs then we might have something to talk about.

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Old 12-28-2017, 12:18 PM   #18
Brett C
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Saw this on FB this morning. Lol


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Old 12-28-2017, 12:19 PM   #19
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I have firewood and whiskey stocked up so bring it!
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Old 12-28-2017, 12:36 PM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mossback View Post
Greattttt, have to go to buffalo NY this weekend. These temps should feel like beach weather up side buffalo though.
Be prepared for snow delays! Take insurance on your flight. Weather delays airline not responsible for. Safe travels and stay warm.
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Old 12-28-2017, 12:38 PM   #21
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I have firewood and whiskey stocked up so bring it!
I'd rather do without it, but if it happens, I'm as ready as I'll ever be......
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Old 12-28-2017, 12:42 PM   #22
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Cold is going to sniff East and central Texas. Heading to the farm in about 2 hours
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Old 12-28-2017, 12:49 PM   #23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Johnny View Post
I personally like what the overnight Euro showed with the potential for a winter storm for parts of Texas next week. The CMC is showing it as well but GFS is warmer and dry.

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I donít like that run at all, panhandle is dry! But it matches our precip pattern since about the end of Aug...

Weird world where Houston & even Corpus Christi have had more snow than Lubbock & Amarillo

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Looks like around 60 straight hours of sub-freezing temperatures for us - don't remember the last time that happened...
I doubt that extent of prolonged cold will actually be realized.
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Old 12-28-2017, 12:52 PM   #24
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marshman View Post
Following. I remember over Christmas break in either 83 or 84 we had several days of below freezing temps in Orange. First and only time in my 52 years I've seen parts of Adams Bayou completely frozen over from bank to opposite bank.
That was 1983 when Galveston Bay had a light glaze of ice over it.

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Old 12-28-2017, 01:01 PM   #25
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The latest Euro run is just starting. It is out to Saturday and shows some serious Arctic air spilling into Montana and straight down the lee of the Rockies. Perfect set up to get that kind of cold down here. Let's see if it still shows this winter storm after the New Year.

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Last edited by Johnny; 12-28-2017 at 01:03 PM..
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Old 12-28-2017, 01:09 PM   #26
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Well it scared the wimins out of coming to the deer lease for new years.....so I guess I'll come home Sunday.

I've got a sheet of plywood in case I need to build another sled to pull behind the tractor.
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Old 12-28-2017, 01:11 PM   #27
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marshman View Post
Following. I remember over Christmas break in either 83 or 84 we had several days of below freezing temps in Orange. First and only time in my 52 years I've seen parts of Adams Bayou completely frozen over from bank to opposite bank.
I don't know how far south it got, but sometime around '96 or so it stayed cold long enough here that we about 10,000 donuts on a 1/2 acre frozen stock tank on a 400 Polaris. Had to keep the beer in the cab of the truck so it wouldn't freeze.lol
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Old 12-28-2017, 01:18 PM   #28
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Latest Euro run looks pretty much the same temp wise as it's last run. Down right cold.

Next Tuesday

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Old 12-28-2017, 01:30 PM   #29
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Dang, I got to get out and do a little pipe wrappin'... make sure the heater in the pump house is workin'... Be worth it tho for 4" of SNOW!!! Would love to build a real snowman in my front yard instead of that wire and cloth one that lights up that's out there right now... My bride's got the crud so I didn't go huntin'... might as well get my lazy arse outside and do something productive...
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Old 12-28-2017, 01:36 PM   #30
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Snowing here in Seymour all morning.
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Old 12-28-2017, 01:42 PM   #31
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Latest Euro run shows no winter storm now and keep us bone dry but plenty cold. As per usual, forecasting wintry weather down here is darn near impossible until it is actually happening. Will just have to see how the models play out with this over the weekend.

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Old 12-28-2017, 02:36 PM   #32
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tony Pic View Post
Be prepared for snow delays! Take insurance on your flight. Weather delays airline not responsible for. Safe travels and stay warm.
Canceled trip to Buffalo NY, didn't want to get stuck somewhere on a holiday weekend. United was nice enough to give me a full refund so I can't complain. now bring on the cold down here
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Old 12-28-2017, 02:43 PM   #33
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BRING it on!
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Old 12-28-2017, 06:16 PM   #34
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Of course. Weíve been at the lease since Christmas afternoon and as usual the good hunting weather will be after we leave to go back home.


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Old 12-28-2017, 06:24 PM   #35
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Canceled trip to Buffalo NY, didn't want to get stuck somewhere on a holiday weekend. United was nice enough to give me a full refund so I can't complain. now bring on the cold down here
My sister company is in Erie, PA. 90 miles from Buffalo.. They are virtually shut down... over 60" of snow since Christmas day... 33" fell on Christmas day. Forecast is for upwards of 10+ more inches by New Year's Day... Plus it's bitterly cold with a stiff wind. Wind chills in the -20's!!

Wise move on cancelling!
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Old 12-28-2017, 06:25 PM   #36
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I just came in from reinforcing the insulation on my outside pipes and double checking the heater in my pump house... Guess I'm as ready for the cold as I can be.
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Old 12-28-2017, 06:30 PM   #37
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I just came in from reinforcing the insulation on my outside pipes and double checking the heater in my pump house... Guess I'm as ready for the cold as I can be.
I just got finished myself. I wanted to get it all done so I can hunt Friday through Monday. Itís better to be safe than sorry.
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Old 12-28-2017, 06:35 PM   #38
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SaltwaterSlick View Post
My sister company is in Erie, PA. 90 miles from Buffalo.. They are virtually shut down... over 60" of snow since Christmas day... 33" fell on Christmas day. Forecast is for upwards of 10+ more inches by New Year's Day... Plus it's bitterly cold with a stiff wind. Wind chills in the -20's!!

Wise move on cancelling!
I just could not imagine living in that. Miserable to me.
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Old 12-28-2017, 06:48 PM   #39
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I just came in from reinforcing the insulation on my outside pipes and double checking the heater in my pump house... Guess I'm as ready for the cold as I can be.
What kind of heater do you have in your well house? I just have a big light bulb in mine.
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Old 12-28-2017, 06:53 PM   #40
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What kind of heater do you have in your well house? I just have a big light bulb in mine.
Have a small thermostatically controlled ceramic heater like you'd use in a small room or bathroom. I still have everything insulated in the pump house too though.

Likely though, I'll turn off the pump and vent the lines at night when the cold gets here...
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Old 12-28-2017, 06:59 PM   #41
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It's cold enough here that I'm not diving this weekend.
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Old 12-28-2017, 07:21 PM   #42
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SaltwaterSlick View Post
Have a small thermostatically controlled ceramic heater like you'd use in a small room or bathroom. I still have everything insulated in the pump house too though.

Likely though, I'll turn off the pump and vent the lines at night when the cold gets here...
Dang thatís a nice set up. It doesnít get terribly cold where I live. Ours is insulated and Iíll switch the bulb on at night, or when itís consistently below freezing.
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Old 12-28-2017, 07:47 PM   #43
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my wife will not be happy if houston gets snow again while we are dry in dfw. she likes to see snow once in a while
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Old 12-28-2017, 08:12 PM   #44
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tag...Johnny, you think it will bring the wet stuff to the deep border?? I'm guessing it will hit new year eve down here??
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Old 12-28-2017, 09:59 PM   #45
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Tagged for updates. Thanks!
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Old 12-28-2017, 11:00 PM   #46
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When is the next model run? It seems like every other model run eliminates then adds back the precip. Yesterday morning, forecast snow. Yesterday evening, no snow. This morning, snow. This evening, no snow lol.
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Old 12-28-2017, 11:10 PM   #47
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When is the next model run? It seems like every other model run eliminates then adds back the precip. Yesterday morning, forecast snow. Yesterday evening, no snow. This morning, snow. This evening, no snow lol.
GFS runs every 6 hours, so midnight eastern, I think the NAM runs every 12 hrs, not sure on the CMC.

The precip variable is going to be uncertain for a few more days. It would be more clear if we had a big upper level disturbance coming in from the Pacific, but we donít.
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Old 12-28-2017, 11:19 PM   #48
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In for updates
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Old 12-29-2017, 12:51 AM   #49
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Quote:
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That was 1983 when Galveston Bay had a light glaze of ice over it.

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We had something like 35 days straight where we never got above freezing in the Panhandle. That was nuts.
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Old 12-29-2017, 07:59 AM   #50
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The National Weather Service just put out a special weather statement for the possibility of freezing precipitation on Sunday afternoon/evening for central Texas. Looks like a higher chance as you get closer to the Red river.
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