Even the latest GFS run has it hitting around the Texas/La border. Models keep moving farther and farther west. If still on this track tomorrow and I had property in flood prone areas of the upper Texas cost, I'd be getting things to a safe place. The winds shouldn't be too bad with this system but heavy rains and flood tides could cause a lot of problems in coastal areas.
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Reckon This One Will Sniff The Gulf?
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Another thing of interest is talk of this thing splitting into two areas of low pressure. If you look closely at the satellite imagery 1369 posted, you can see two vorticies starting to spin up. One over the Yucatan and one in the trough to the North in the GOM. Weird, disorganized system right now.
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Originally posted by Montec man View PostAnother thing of interest is talk of this thing splitting into two areas of low pressure. If you look closely at the satellite imagery 1369 posted, you can see two vorticies starting to spin up. One over the Yucatan and one in the trough to the North in the GOM. Weird, disorganized system right now.
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Kinda surprised how far to the east they put, but they are the best for a reason. This area would get nothing but clear skies, and heat if that track verifies. Feel bad for the people of South LA who just went through the horrible flooding less than a year ago.
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Originally posted by ccbluewater View PostKinda surprised how far to the east they put, but they are the best for a reason. This area would get nothing but clear skies, and heat if that track verifies. Feel bad for the people of South LA who just went through the horrible flooding less than a year ago.
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Its going to be rough for them even if it does shift west
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93L is being sheared in the upper levels, shear is gonna have to back off if this thing has a chance of wrapping up. If all the moisture to the east being sheared off could wrap up and start firing some good convection we could possibly have a real storm on our hands. Conditions just don't look good for this to intensify much more than a very very minimal tropical storm if it actually closes off and gets to that point. The models have all seemed to close in on a pretty decent agreement.
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Originally posted by Montec man View PostAnother thing of interest is talk of this thing splitting into two areas of low pressure. If you look closely at the satellite imagery 1369 posted, you can see two vorticies starting to spin up. One over the Yucatan and one in the trough to the North in the GOM. Weird, disorganized system right now.
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