Reckon This One Will Sniff The Gulf?

[1369]

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Jun 16 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Cloudiness and showers associated with a tropical wave located
several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continue
to show signs of organization. Slow development is possible during
the next few days while the wave moves westward at 15-20 mph over
the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

2. A large area of disturbed weather has formed over the western
Caribbean Sea and the adjacent portions of Central America.
Conditions appear to be favorable for gradual development of this
system while it moves slowly northwestward across the Yucatan
Peninsula this weekend and into the southern and central Gulf of
Mexico early next week. Regardless of development, heavy rains are
likely to spread over portions of Central America and the Yucatan
Peninsula during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

[STGS]

I am between Playa del Carmen and Cancun right now. Plenty hot with lots of frozen margaritas. 100% chance of a buzz and resulting hangover for the next 5 days.

[rlwenzel]

I am between Playa del Carmen and Cancun right now. Plenty hot with lots of frozen margaritas. 100% chance of a buzz and resulting hangover for the next 5 days.

my kind of party lol. have fun

[TexasBob]

Not much talk about this anywhere. That one coming in low and hot seems concerning.


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[Pineywoods]

Not much talk about this anywhere. That one coming in low and hot seems concerning.


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Yah I haven't heard much about it either. I was wondering if this thread would pop back up this morning so I could see a link for updates on it.

[Encinal]

We need one to hit around Brownsville.

[super_dave]

Ok, so I'm supposed to board a boat in Venice next Sunday and head offshore. What are the odds this storm messes that up?

[Farmdog]

Cotton growers dont want it. Too late to help. Only cause pain Dont retire Johnny.

[Playa]

Cotton growers dont want it. Too late to help. Only cause pain Dont retire Johnny.

Northern cotton farmers need it, but it needs to hit may-he-co move interior and swing NE and rain on I-20 north

[RMW]

We are starting corn harvest next week. Our Soybeans could sure use some rain

[ccbluewater]

Looking better organized this morning. Models still somewhat split with the GFS consistent with faster developing storm hitting the Florida panhandle sometime Wednesday. The Euro has consistently shown more westerly track into MX/tx. Most recent run brings it a bit more North. Other models are in between those.

Recon is going to fly the storm today and should allow the models and everything to get a better handle on what's to come the next few days.

In my non-professional GUESS I'd say a weak Tropical Storm from Brownsville to Port Aransas on Thursday.


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[Montec man]

The models are starting to agree on a more westerly track. We should know a lot more on Tuesday after the low crosses the Yucatan. It's kinda stuck between a high to the East and a high to the west and they're not sure about the steering currents yet.

[91cavgt]

tagged for future updates.

[marshman]

Following

[trophy8]

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