This story in the Wall Street Journal I thought was interesting... especially ahead of the Saturday rally in Georgia.
I wonder what campaign strategists do with this as an input:
I'm not 100% sure what the takeaway is here. Trump as a political phenomenon is hard to gauge, as the polling errors have shown. In my mind, preservation of the Senate majority should be the goal of any conservative-minded politician... ahead of self interest.
I wonder what campaign strategists do with this as an input:
In the three weeks before Election Day, Mr. Trump visited 48 counties, and in 28 of them, overall turnout rose by more than it did in the state overall.
But in 38 of the 48 counties, Mr. Trump’s 2020 share of the vote declined compared with 2016. That is to say, in those 38 counties, his wins were smaller, his losses were larger, or counties actually flipped from him to Democratic President-elect Joe Biden. And in the 28 counties Mr. Trump visited that had very high turnout boosts—higher than the state average—the overwhelming majority, 21 of them, saw his 2020 margins shrink on Election Day.
But in 38 of the 48 counties, Mr. Trump’s 2020 share of the vote declined compared with 2016. That is to say, in those 38 counties, his wins were smaller, his losses were larger, or counties actually flipped from him to Democratic President-elect Joe Biden. And in the 28 counties Mr. Trump visited that had very high turnout boosts—higher than the state average—the overwhelming majority, 21 of them, saw his 2020 margins shrink on Election Day.
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